@article{buhaug_climate_2010,
	title = {Climate not to blame for {African} civil wars},
	volume = {107},
	issn = {0027-8424, 1091-6490},
	url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/107/38/16477},
	doi = {10.1073/pnas.1005739107},
	abstract = {Vocal actors within policy and practice contend that environmental variability and shocks, such as drought and prolonged heat waves, drive civil wars in Africa. Recently, a widely publicized scientific article appears to substantiate this claim. This paper investigates the empirical foundation for the claimed relationship in detail. Using a host of different model specifications and alternative measures of drought, heat, and civil war, the paper concludes that climate variability is a poor predictor of armed conflict. Instead, African civil wars can be explained by generic structural and contextual conditions: prevalent ethno-political exclusion, poor national economy, and the collapse of the Cold War system.},
	language = {en},
	number = {38},
	urldate = {2017-10-23},
	journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	author = {Buhaug, Halvard},
	month = sep,
	year = {2010},
	pmid = {20823241},
	keywords = {KR, Untagged},
	pages = {16477--16482},
}

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