Hidden Markov Models for the Activity Profile of Terrorist Groups. Raghavan, V., Galstyan, A., & Tartakovsky, A. G. Annals of Applied Statistics, 7:1837-2457, 2014.
Hidden Markov Models for the Activity Profile of Terrorist Groups [link]Paper  bibtex   
@ARTICLE{Raghavan2014AOAS,
 title = {Hidden Markov Models for the Activity Profile of Terrorist Groups},
  author = {Vasanthan Raghavan and Aram Galstyan and Alexander G. Tartakovsky},
  journal = {Annals of Applied Statistics},
  volume = {7},
   issue = {4},
  pages = {1837-2457},
  year = {2014},
   urlpaper={http://arxiv.org/pdf/1207.1497v3}
  }

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