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\n  \n 2023\n \n \n (3)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, Eliot J.B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Harnessing open, transparent forecasting to improve evidence-informed, co-produced decision making.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n October 2023.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"HarnessingPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_jb_harnessing_2023,\n\taddress = {Montreal, Canada},\n\ttitle = {Harnessing open, transparent forecasting to improve evidence-informed, co-produced decision making},\n\turl = {https://eowilsonfoundation.org/programs/outreach/half-earth-day/half-earth-day-2023/},\n\tauthor = {{McIntire, Eliot J.B.}},\n\tmonth = oct,\n\tyear = {2023},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Methods in Predictive Ecology.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n June 2023.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_methods_2023,\n\taddress = {United States of America},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Methods in {Predictive} {Ecology}},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = jun,\n\tyear = {2023},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Hughes, J.; Weeber, Russ; Venier, Lisa; Turner, Julie; Stewart, Frances; McIntire, Eliot; Johnson, Cheryl; Dyson, Matt; Avery-Gomm, Stephanie; Frid, Leonardo; and Endicott, Sarah\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Forecasting cumulative effects of disturbance on wildlife to inform decisions: adventures in reuseability, reliability and flexibility.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n June 2023.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"ForecastingPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{hughes_forecasting_2023,\n\taddress = {Winnipeg, Canada},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Forecasting cumulative effects of disturbance on wildlife to inform decisions: adventures in reuseability, reliability and flexibility},\n\turl = {https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1BnT-CKqNw6T-km2l8KdkTWvb6nyIktfl/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=111541730342945675365&rtpof=true&sd=true},\n\tauthor = {Hughes, Josie and {Weeber, Russ} and {Venier, Lisa} and {Turner, Julie} and {Stewart, Frances} and {McIntire, Eliot} and {Johnson, Cheryl} and {Dyson, Matt} and {Avery-Gomm, Stephanie} and {Frid, Leonardo} and {Endicott, Sarah}},\n\tmonth = jun,\n\tyear = {2023},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2022\n \n \n (11)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; Ceres Barros; Alex M. Chubaty; Steve Cumming; Tatiane Micheletti; Ian Eddy; Céline Boisvenue; and Frances E. C. Stewart\n\n\n \n \n \n \n PERFICT: A Re-imagined foundation for predictive ecology.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n May 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_perfict_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Conference {Presentation}},\n\ttitle = {{PERFICT}: {A} {Re}-imagined foundation for predictive ecology},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and {Ceres Barros} and {Alex M. Chubaty} and {Steve Cumming} and {Tatiane Micheletti} and {Ian Eddy} and {Céline Boisvenue} and {Frances E. C. Stewart}},\n\tmonth = may,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Bringing open science to land management.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n February 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"BringingPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_j_b_bringing_2022,\n\ttype = {Keynote},\n\ttitle = {Bringing open science to land management},\n\turl = {https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1SlFGlc98ruSxrNjdgI4m7WDCkdnkSvP5sloHYgOUiBc/edit#slide=id.g1119e16f96b_0_1921.},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = feb,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Bringing open science, open models and nimbleness to forest ecology and land management.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Montreal, Canada, August 2022. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_bringing_2022,\n\taddress = {Montreal, Canada},\n\ttitle = {Bringing open science, open models and nimbleness to forest ecology and land management},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E. J. B.},\n\tmonth = aug,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Western Boreal Initiative: Cumulative effects of natural and anthropogenic disturbances under climate change in Western Canada: Assessing the trade-offs among long-term conservation of priority species and places, carbon sequestration, and land management.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n May 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_j_b_western_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Annual {Workshop}},\n\ttitle = {Western {Boreal} {Initiative}: {Cumulative} effects of natural and anthropogenic disturbances under climate change in {Western} {Canada}:  {Assessing} the trade-offs among long-term conservation of priority species and places, carbon sequestration, and land management},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = may,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Contributing to caribou land management plans in northern ecosystems while data, models, objectives and the ecosystems are in flux.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n June 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_j_b_contributing_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Keynote},\n\ttitle = {Contributing to caribou land management plans in northern ecosystems while data, models, objectives and the ecosystems are in flux},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = jun,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Stewart, F. E. C.; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Forecasting tǫdzı/tǫji habitat and populations in the Wek’èezhìi region of the NWT.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n June 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{stewart_forecasting_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Forecasting tǫdzı/tǫji habitat and populations in the {Wek}’èezhìi region of the {NWT}},\n\tauthor = {Stewart, Frances E. C. and McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = jun,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Using open modeling systems to bridge science and policy domains: the case of forest disturbance interactions.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n November 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_using_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Using open modeling systems to bridge science and policy domains: the case of forest disturbance interactions},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = nov,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Cumulative effects in northern forests – current initiatives, future priorities and data gaps.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n November 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_cumulative_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Cumulative effects in northern forests – current initiatives, future priorities and data gaps},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = nov,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Integrative Modeling - Bring it all together.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n December 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_integrative_2022,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Integrative {Modeling} - {Bring} it all together},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = dec,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Getting to PERFICT;  open modeling and forecasting for science-policy integration.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n December 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_getting_2022,\n\taddress = {University of Victoria},\n\ttype = {Presentation},\n\ttitle = {Getting to {PERFICT};  open modeling and forecasting for science-policy integration},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = dec,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Micheletti, T.; McIntire, E.; Hache, S.; Stralberg, D.; Chubaty, A.; Stewart, F.; Eddy, I.; Barros, C.; Boisvenue, C.; and Cumming, S.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Boreal Landbirds of Canada: forecasted distribution, effects of climate change and conservation synergies.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n August 2022.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"BorealPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{micheletti_boreal_2022,\n\ttitle = {Boreal {Landbirds} of {Canada}:  forecasted distribution, effects of climate change and conservation synergies},\n\turl = {https://iocongress2022.com},\n\tauthor = {Micheletti, Tati and McIntire, Eliot and Hache, Sam and Stralberg, Diana and Chubaty, Alex and Stewart, Frances and Eddy, Ian and Barros, Ceres and Boisvenue, Celine and Cumming, Steve},\n\tmonth = aug,\n\tyear = {2022},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2021\n \n \n (8)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n Frances E.C. Stewart; Tatiane Micheletti; Eliot J.B. McIntire; Samuel Haché; Mathieu Leblond; Junior A. Tremblay; Ceres Barros; Ian Eddy; James Hodson; Fiona K.A. Schmiegelow; Alex M. Chubaty; and Steven G. Cumming\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Forecasting woodland caribou resource selection and demography under climate change in Canada’s Northwest Territories.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ottawa, ON, May 2021. \n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n  \n \n abstract \n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{frances_ec_stewart_forecasting_2021,\n\taddress = {Ottawa, ON},\n\ttitle = {Forecasting woodland caribou resource selection and demography under climate change in {Canada}’s {Northwest} {Territories}},\n\tabstract = {Environmental changes in Canada’s northern forests may be relatively severe because of polar amplification, leading to increased frequency and severity of drought and wildfires. This will change habitats of species and populations at risk, with important distributional and demographic consequences that will challenge long-term conservation and management planning. These challenges could be overcome by more realistic forecasts of future habitat conditions, based on climate sensitive simulations of key ecological processes (e.g. vegetation dynamics, fire) linked to models of wildlife habitat use and demographics. We forecast habitats and demographic parameters for five boreal woodland caribou populations under 90 years of climate-driven landscape change within the Taiga Plains ecozone of the Northwest Territories, Canada. We asked how the availability of caribou habitats, and caribou population growth rates may change under three climate warming scenarios. Our models were implemented and integrated within the Spatial Discrete Event Simulation (SpaDES) framework, a suite of R packages for nimble and reproducible spatial simulation and ecological modelling. Our results suggest a gradual but widespread decrease in the availability of high quality woodland caribou habitats to 2100, especially in the south due to conversion of coniferous to deciduous forests. Many of the region's caribou populations are already predicted to be declining and these declines are not much changed under our simulations. This points to the need for improved representation of anthropic factors in these forecasts.  Management plans for recovering and conserving these caribou populations may face spatially variable, independent changes in habitat quality and demographic rates.},\n\tauthor = {{Frances E.C. Stewart} and {Tatiane Micheletti} and {Eliot J.B. McIntire} and {Samuel Haché} and {Mathieu Leblond} and {Junior A. Tremblay} and {Ceres Barros} and {Ian Eddy} and {James Hodson} and {Fiona K.A. Schmiegelow} and {Alex M. Chubaty} and {Steven G. Cumming}},\n\tmonth = may,\n\tyear = {2021},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n Environmental changes in Canada’s northern forests may be relatively severe because of polar amplification, leading to increased frequency and severity of drought and wildfires. This will change habitats of species and populations at risk, with important distributional and demographic consequences that will challenge long-term conservation and management planning. These challenges could be overcome by more realistic forecasts of future habitat conditions, based on climate sensitive simulations of key ecological processes (e.g. vegetation dynamics, fire) linked to models of wildlife habitat use and demographics. We forecast habitats and demographic parameters for five boreal woodland caribou populations under 90 years of climate-driven landscape change within the Taiga Plains ecozone of the Northwest Territories, Canada. We asked how the availability of caribou habitats, and caribou population growth rates may change under three climate warming scenarios. Our models were implemented and integrated within the Spatial Discrete Event Simulation (SpaDES) framework, a suite of R packages for nimble and reproducible spatial simulation and ecological modelling. Our results suggest a gradual but widespread decrease in the availability of high quality woodland caribou habitats to 2100, especially in the south due to conversion of coniferous to deciduous forests. Many of the region's caribou populations are already predicted to be declining and these declines are not much changed under our simulations. This points to the need for improved representation of anthropic factors in these forecasts. Management plans for recovering and conserving these caribou populations may face spatially variable, independent changes in habitat quality and demographic rates.\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; Tati, M.; Ceres, B.; Frances, S.; Ian, E.; Barry, C.; Celine, B.; Sam, H.; Junior, T.; Mathieu, L.; Alex, C.; Steve, C.; Alana, W.; and James, H.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Cumulative Effects of Natural and Anthropogenic Disturbances under Climate Change in Northern Ecosystems.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n October 2021.\n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"CumulativePaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_cumulative_2021,\n\ttitle = {Cumulative {Effects} of {Natural} and {Anthropogenic} {Disturbances} under {Climate} {Change} in {Northern} {Ecosystems}},\n\turl = {https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1B6SlTSTFHbESeXHNbf4hATFCCX6KbI1PnnmAuX6y6C8/edit#slide=id.gf24020f6f6_1_0},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Tati, Micheletti and Ceres, Barros and Frances, Stewart and Ian, Eddy and Barry, Cooke and Celine, Boisvenue and Sam, Hache and Junior, Tremblay and Mathieu, Leblond and Alex, Chubaty and Steve, Cumming and Alana, Westwood and James, Hodson},\n\tmonth = oct,\n\tyear = {2021},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, Eliot\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Forecasting Landcover Change: Forests, Next Steps and Downstream Management Needs.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n September 2021.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_forecasting_2021,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttitle = {Forecasting {Landcover} {Change}: {Forests}, {Next} {Steps} and {Downstream} {Management} {Needs}},\n\turl = {https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/10G3Wvu-r4Ygeyhs2_R5qlwQIq0G-vC1pjrEVtmZUpTo/edit?usp=sharing},\n\tauthor = {{McIntire, Eliot}},\n\tmonth = sep,\n\tyear = {2021},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, Eliot\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n LandR & LandR.CS & fireSense: Quick overview for NWT.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n February 2021.\n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"LandRPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_landr_2021,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttitle = {{LandR} \\& {LandR}.{CS} \\& {fireSense}: {Quick} overview for {NWT}},\n\turl = {https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1SQeGRivvA3cd3EF4kduVRLzBHKWYjIzd/edit#slide=id.p1},\n\tauthor = {{McIntire, Eliot}},\n\tmonth = feb,\n\tyear = {2021},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Geneviève Degré-Timmons; Ruth Greuel; Jennifer Baltzer; Jill Johnstone; Eliot McIntire; Nicola Day; Sarah Hart; Philip McLoughlin; Fiona Schmiegelow; Merritt Turetsky; Alexandre Truchon-Savard; Mario van Telgen; and Steven Cumming\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Predicting patterns of terrestrial lichen biomass recovery following boreal wildfires.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In May 2021. \n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n  \n \n abstract \n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{genevieve_degre-timmons_predicting_2021,\n\ttitle = {Predicting patterns of terrestrial lichen biomass recovery following boreal wildfires},\n\tabstract = {Increased fire activity due to climate change will impact the successional dynamics of boreal\nforests in northwestern Canada, with important consequences for caribou habitat. Early\nsuccessional forests are expected to support lower quantities of caribou forage lichens, but\ngeographic variation in lichen recovery times has been largely unexplored. In this study, we\nsampled across a broad latitudinal range extending from Saskatchewan to the Northwest\nTerritories, to compare lichen biomass accumulation in four boreal ecoprovinces. We focused\non the most valuable Cladonia species for boreal caribou. We developed new allometric\nequations to estimate lichen biomass from field measurements of lichen cover and depth; these\nallometries were consistent across ecoprovinces suggesting generalizability. We then used\nestimates of lichen abundance to quantify patterns of lichen recovery in different stand types\nand ecoprovinces. We fit logistic growth models with random effects to account for the\nhierarchical structure of the data (quadrats within plots) and heterogeneous variances to\naccount for differences in quadrat size among data sources. We found that a measure of lichen\nrecovery (time to 50\\% asymptotic value) varied from 28 to 73 years, depending on stand type\nand ecoprovince. These results provide a basis for estimating fire effects on future caribou\nhabitat that encompasses some of the large variation in lichen abundance and vegetation types\nacross the range of boreal woodland caribou in North America.},\n\tauthor = {{Geneviève Degré-Timmons} and {Ruth Greuel} and {Jennifer Baltzer} and {Jill Johnstone} and {Eliot McIntire} and {Nicola Day} and {Sarah Hart} and {Philip McLoughlin} and {Fiona Schmiegelow} and {Merritt Turetsky} and {Alexandre Truchon-Savard} and {Mario van Telgen} and {Steven Cumming}},\n\tmonth = may,\n\tyear = {2021},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n Increased fire activity due to climate change will impact the successional dynamics of boreal forests in northwestern Canada, with important consequences for caribou habitat. Early successional forests are expected to support lower quantities of caribou forage lichens, but geographic variation in lichen recovery times has been largely unexplored. In this study, we sampled across a broad latitudinal range extending from Saskatchewan to the Northwest Territories, to compare lichen biomass accumulation in four boreal ecoprovinces. We focused on the most valuable Cladonia species for boreal caribou. We developed new allometric equations to estimate lichen biomass from field measurements of lichen cover and depth; these allometries were consistent across ecoprovinces suggesting generalizability. We then used estimates of lichen abundance to quantify patterns of lichen recovery in different stand types and ecoprovinces. We fit logistic growth models with random effects to account for the hierarchical structure of the data (quadrats within plots) and heterogeneous variances to account for differences in quadrat size among data sources. We found that a measure of lichen recovery (time to 50% asymptotic value) varied from 28 to 73 years, depending on stand type and ecoprovince. These results provide a basis for estimating fire effects on future caribou habitat that encompasses some of the large variation in lichen abundance and vegetation types across the range of boreal woodland caribou in North America.\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, Eliot\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Western Boreal Initiative: Cumulative effects of natural and anthropogenic disturbances under climate change in Western Canada: Assessing the trade-offs among long-term conservation of priority species and places, carbon sequestration, and land management: WORKSHOP AND END OF YEAR MEETING.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n April 2021.\n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_western_2021,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttitle = {Western {Boreal} {Initiative}: {Cumulative} effects of natural and anthropogenic disturbances under climate change in {Western} {Canada}:  {Assessing} the trade-offs among long-term conservation of priority species and places, carbon sequestration, and land management: {WORKSHOP} {AND} {END} {OF} {YEAR} {MEETING}},\n\tabstract = {Exchange between Implementation Team and Advisory Committee on the Western Boreal Initiative.},\n\tauthor = {{McIntire, Eliot}},\n\tmonth = apr,\n\tyear = {2021},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n Exchange between Implementation Team and Advisory Committee on the Western Boreal Initiative.\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, Eliot\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n SpaDES: An open platform for transparent, science-informed policy, decision making, and co-production.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n January 2021.\n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"SpaDES:Paper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_spades_2021,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Webinar. {Presentation} to {Parks} {Canada} and collaborators for {Sea} {Otter} program},\n\ttitle = {{SpaDES}: {An} open platform for transparent, science-informed policy, decision making, and co-production},\n\turl = {https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1UlNCoA4C_ESeNOMCIrs7mWUlVMfAsifH/edit#slide=id.p1},\n\tauthor = {{McIntire, Eliot}},\n\tmonth = jan,\n\tyear = {2021},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Turner, Julie; Johnson, Cheryl; Daniel, Colin; McIntire, Eliot; and Hughes, Josie\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Past, present and future cumulative effects of harvest, fire & roads on boreal caribou.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In May 2021. \n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{turner_julie_past_2021,\n\ttitle = {Past, present and future cumulative effects of harvest, fire \\&amp; roads on boreal caribou},\n\tabstract = {The cumulative effects of ongoing disturbance threaten boreal caribou persistence. Undisturbed\nhabitat is one of the most critical factors in ensuring the future survival of caribou populations. In\na case study in the Churchill range of Ontario, we examine changes in disturbance  over the\npast decade. We compare these changes to the first 10 years of a 40 year projection of timber\nharvest and road development derived from 2008/2009 harvest plans. In the past decade,\nobserved harvest was less than planned, suggesting that poor market conditions provided some\nshort-term relief to the Churchill caribou. However, we cannot assume that poor market\nconditions will persist. According to 2008/2009 harvest plans, the proportion of the range within\n500 m of anthropogenic disturbance was projected to reach 57\\% of the range by 2050\ncompared to the 31\\% observed disturbance in 2010. The 2050 disturbance level substantially\nexceeds the  goal of maintaining at least 65\\% undisturbed habitat within a range. Projection\nmodels like ours can be used to assess the implications of plans for caribou. Better plans are\nnecessary to ensure sufficient future availability of undisturbed habitat in the Churchill range.},\n\tauthor = {{Turner, Julie} and {Johnson, Cheryl} and {Daniel, Colin} and {McIntire, Eliot} and {Hughes, Josie}},\n\tmonth = may,\n\tyear = {2021},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n The cumulative effects of ongoing disturbance threaten boreal caribou persistence. Undisturbed habitat is one of the most critical factors in ensuring the future survival of caribou populations. In a case study in the Churchill range of Ontario, we examine changes in disturbance  over the past decade. We compare these changes to the first 10 years of a 40 year projection of timber harvest and road development derived from 2008/2009 harvest plans. In the past decade, observed harvest was less than planned, suggesting that poor market conditions provided some short-term relief to the Churchill caribou. However, we cannot assume that poor market conditions will persist. According to 2008/2009 harvest plans, the proportion of the range within 500 m of anthropogenic disturbance was projected to reach 57% of the range by 2050 compared to the 31% observed disturbance in 2010. The 2050 disturbance level substantially exceeds the  goal of maintaining at least 65% undisturbed habitat within a range. Projection models like ours can be used to assess the implications of plans for caribou. Better plans are necessary to ensure sufficient future availability of undisturbed habitat in the Churchill range.\n
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\n  \n 2020\n \n \n (2)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, Eliot\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Cumulative effects of natural and anthropogenic disturbances under climate change in Western Canada: Assessing the trade-offs among long-term conservation of priority species and places, carbon sequestration, and land management.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n October 2020.\n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"CumulativePaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_eliot_cumulative_2020,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Webinar. {Cumulative} {Effects} program. {Fall} {Workshop}.},\n\ttitle = {Cumulative effects of natural and anthropogenic disturbances under climate change in {Western} {Canada}: {Assessing} the trade-offs among long-term conservation of priority species and places, carbon sequestration, and land management},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/0B2ZNPaJoLI9xUGVoNG5zS1RhZmc},\n\tauthor = {{McIntire, Eliot}},\n\tmonth = oct,\n\tyear = {2020},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, Alex\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n A brief introduction to SpaDES.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n May 2020.\n ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"APaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{chubaty_alex_brief_2020,\n\taddress = {Virtual},\n\ttype = {Webinar},\n\ttitle = {A brief introduction to {SpaDES}},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/0B2ZNPaJoLI9xUGVoNG5zS1RhZmc},\n\tauthor = {{Chubaty, Alex}},\n\tcollaborator = {McIntire, E. J. B.},\n\tmonth = may,\n\tyear = {2020},\n\tnote = {ZSCC: NoCitationData[s0]},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2019\n \n \n (8)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Cumulative effects trade-offs and foundational tools: the case of climate, timber supply, oil & gas, and disturbance on caribou, biodiversity, and carbon.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n October 2019.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_cumulative_2019,\n\taddress = {Webinar},\n\ttitle = {Cumulative effects trade-offs and foundational tools: the case of climate, timber supply, oil \\& gas, and disturbance on caribou, biodiversity, and carbon},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tcollaborator = {Stewart, Frances E. C. and Eddy, Ian and Campbell, Elizabeth and Boisvenue, Celine and Ghafghazi, Saeed and Cooke, Barry J and Winder, Richard S. and Hache, Samuel and Johnson, Cheryl A. and Micheletti, Tatiane and Paradis, E. and Cumming, Steve G and Baltzer, Jennifer},\n\tmonth = oct,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Barros, C.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n How and why to incorporate partial stand mortality in landscape dynamic models of mixed severity fire regimes.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n November 2019.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{barros_how_2019,\n\ttitle = {How and why to incorporate partial stand mortality in landscape dynamic models of mixed severity fire regimes},\n\tauthor = {Barros, Ceres},\n\tcollaborator = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Andison, David and Cumming, Steve G and Chubaty, Alex and Eddy, Ian and Naficy, Cameron},\n\tmonth = nov,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A. M; McIntire, E. J B; and Cooke, B. J\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Facing the tree-slayer: forecasting Mountain Pine Beetle spatial spread in SpaDES.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n February 2019.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{chubaty_facing_2019,\n\taddress = {Edmonton, AB},\n\ttitle = {Facing the tree-slayer: forecasting {Mountain} {Pine} {Beetle} spatial spread in {SpaDES}},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex M and McIntire, Eliot J B and Cooke, Barry J},\n\tmonth = feb,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Micheletti, T.; McIntire, E. J B; Stewart, F.; Hache, S.; Eddy, I.; Barros, C.; Chubaty, A. M; Stralberg, D.; Marchal, J.; Raymundo, A. P.; van Telgen, M.; Tremblay, J.; Leblond, M.; Pankratz, R.; Hodson, J.; and Cumming, S.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Data to decisions: a multispecies approach case study for Northwest Territories.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Québec, QC, August 2019. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{micheletti_data_2019,\n\taddress = {Québec, QC},\n\ttitle = {Data to decisions: a multispecies approach case study for {Northwest} {Territories}},\n\tauthor = {Micheletti, Tati and McIntire, Eliot J B and Stewart, Frances and Hache, Samuel and Eddy, Ian and Barros, Ceres and Chubaty, Alex M and Stralberg, Diana and Marchal, Jean and Raymundo, Ana Paula and van Telgen, Mario and Tremblay, Junior and Leblond, Mathieu and Pankratz, Rhiannon and Hodson, James and Cumming, Steve},\n\tmonth = aug,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Micheletti, T.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Forecasting boreal songbird SAR responses to direct and indirect effects of climate change in the Northwest Territories.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n November 2019.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{micheletti_forecasting_2019,\n\taddress = {Webinar},\n\ttitle = {Forecasting boreal songbird {SAR} responses to direct and indirect effects of climate change in the {Northwest} {Territories}},\n\tauthor = {Micheletti, Tatiane},\n\tcollaborator = {Stewart, Frances E. C. and McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Hache, Samuel and Stralberg, Diana and Tremblay, Junior A. and Barros, Ceres and Eddy, Ian and Chubaty, Alex M. and Leblond, Mathieu and Pankratz, Rhiannon and Mahon, Lisa and Van Wilgenburg, S. and Schmiegelow, Fiona K. A. and Bayne, Erin M. and Cumming, Steve G},\n\tmonth = nov,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Stewart, F.; Micheletti, T.; McIntire, E. J B; Hache, S.; Leblond, M.; Tremblay, J.; Marchal, J.; van Telgen, M.; Hodson, J.; Schmiegelow, F.; Eddy, I.; Chubaty, A. M; Barros, C.; and Cumming, S.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Predicting caribou resource selection and demography under landscape and climate change.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Fredricton, NB, August 2019. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{stewart_predicting_2019,\n\taddress = {Fredricton, NB},\n\ttitle = {Predicting caribou resource selection and demography under landscape and climate change},\n\tauthor = {Stewart, Frances and Micheletti, Tati and McIntire, Eliot J B and Hache, Samuel and Leblond, Mathieu and Tremblay, Junior and Marchal, Jean and van Telgen, Mario and Hodson, James and Schmiegelow, Fiona and Eddy, Ian and Chubaty, Alex M and Barros, Ceres and Cumming, Steve},\n\tmonth = aug,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Barros, C.; Chubaty, A M; Cumming, S. G; Micheletti, T.; Eddy, I.; Boisvenue, C.; Stewart, F. E C; and McIntire, E. J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Making Predictive Ecology PERFICT.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Belfast, Northern Ireland, December 2019. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{barros_making_2019,\n\taddress = {Belfast, Northern Ireland},\n\ttitle = {Making {Predictive} {Ecology} {PERFICT}},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/file/d/1FoAk3VSujuQWoiXBZ3sp1y5dn3FwdDe4/view},\n\tauthor = {Barros, Ceres and Chubaty, A M and Cumming, Steve G and Micheletti, Tatiane and Eddy, Ian and Boisvenue, Céline and Stewart, Frances E C and McIntire, Eliot J B},\n\tmonth = dec,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A. M; Cooke, B. J; and McIntire, E. J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Integrating fire disturbance with models of mountain pine beetle spread to evaluate efficacy of controlled burns as a management tool.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n February 2019.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{chubaty_integrating_2019,\n\taddress = {Québec, QC},\n\ttitle = {Integrating fire disturbance with models of mountain pine beetle spread to evaluate efficacy of controlled burns as a management tool},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex M and Cooke, Barry J and McIntire, Eliot J B},\n\tmonth = feb,\n\tyear = {2019},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A. M; Cooke, B. J; and Mcintire, E. J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Simulating MPB invasive spread control in Saskatchewan using SpaDES.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n February 2018.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{chubaty_simulating_2018,\n\taddress = {Edmonton, AB},\n\ttitle = {Simulating {MPB} invasive spread control in {Saskatchewan} using {SpaDES}},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex M and Cooke, Barry J and Mcintire, Eliot J B},\n\tmonth = feb,\n\tyear = {2018},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J B; Bauduin, S.; Marchal, J.; Clason, A.; Chubaty, A. M; and Cumming, S. G\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Predictive ecology in a world filled with dynamic data and models – entering continuous adaptive management.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n January 2018.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{mcintire_predictive_2018,\n\taddress = {Victoria, BC},\n\ttitle = {Predictive ecology in a world filled with dynamic data and models – entering continuous adaptive management},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J B and Bauduin, Sarah and Marchal, Jean and Clason, Alana and Chubaty, Alex M and Cumming, Steve G},\n\tmonth = jan,\n\tyear = {2018},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A. M; and McIntire, E. J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Cumulative Impacts Monitoring Program (CIMP) SpaDES Workshop.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n October 2018.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{chubaty_cumulative_2018,\n\taddress = {Yellowknife, NT},\n\ttitle = {Cumulative {Impacts} {Monitoring} {Program} ({CIMP}) {SpaDES} {Workshop}},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex M and McIntire, Eliot J B},\n\tmonth = oct,\n\tyear = {2018},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A. M; McIntire, E. J B; and Andison, D. W\n\n\n \n \n \n \n LandWeb: Exploring NRV in the Western Canadian Boreal Forest.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n July 2018.\n \n\n\n\n
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@misc{chubaty_landweb_2018,\n\taddress = {Hinton, AB},\n\ttitle = {{LandWeb}: {Exploring} {NRV} in the {Western} {Canadian} {Boreal} {Forest}},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex M and McIntire, Eliot J B and Andison, David W},\n\tmonth = jul,\n\tyear = {2018},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Invited to present at CWS Delta, BC: Building a continuous adaptive management system in SpaDES.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Canadian Wildlife Service, Invited Talk, Delta, BC, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"InvitedPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_invited_2017,\n\taddress = {Delta, BC},\n\ttitle = {Invited to present at {CWS} {Delta}, {BC}: {Building} a continuous adaptive management system in {SpaDES}},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxZrk9psrK4nbmt6Mk15TkFia00/view?usp=sharing},\n\tbooktitle = {Canadian {Wildlife} {Service}, {Invited} {Talk}},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E. J. B.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Dialing down the risk: The importance of being nimble.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In ADM Innovation Fund, December 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"DialingPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_dialing_2017,\n\ttitle = {Dialing down the risk: {The} importance of being nimble},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Sp4ctLuyLt3DTCcztH09aOVD2lAJufXH/view?usp=sharing},\n\tbooktitle = {{ADM} {Innovation} {Fund}},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tmonth = dec,\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n The SpaDES platform and boreal caribou. Presentation for Science Advisory Group, 3rd Assessment, Environment and Climate Change Canada.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ottawa, ON, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_spades_2017,\n\taddress = {Ottawa, ON},\n\ttitle = {The {SpaDES} platform and boreal caribou. {Presentation} for {Science} {Advisory} {Group}, 3rd {Assessment}, {Environment} and {Climate} {Change} {Canada}},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E. J. B.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Luo, Y.; McIntire, E. J. B.; Chubaty*, A.; Andison, D.; and Cumming, S. G.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Vegetation dynamics in SpaDES - The recoded LANDIS-II biomass succession model.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Canadian Society of Ecology and Evolution, Victoria BC, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{luo_vegetation_2017,\n\taddress = {Victoria BC},\n\ttitle = {Vegetation dynamics in {SpaDES} - {The} recoded {LANDIS}-{II} biomass succession model},\n\tbooktitle = {Canadian {Society} of {Ecology} and {Evolution}},\n\tauthor = {Luo, Yong and McIntire, E. J. B. and Chubaty*, Alex and Andison, David and Cumming, S. G.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Marchal, J.; Cumming, S. G.; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Turning down the heat: vegetation feedbacks limit fire regime responses to global warming.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ecological Society of America, Portland, OR, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{marchal_turning_2017,\n\taddress = {Portland, OR},\n\ttitle = {Turning down the heat: vegetation feedbacks limit fire regime responses to global warming},\n\tbooktitle = {Ecological {Society} of {America}},\n\tauthor = {Marchal, Jean and Cumming, S. G. and McIntire, E. J. B.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; Andison, D.; Cumming, S. G.; Luo, Y.; and Chubaty, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Building a continuous adaptive management system in SpaDES: using historical landscape variation for the LandWeb project.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Canadian Society of Ecology and Evolution, Victoria, BC, Victoria, BC, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_building_2017,\n\taddress = {Victoria, BC},\n\ttitle = {Building a continuous adaptive management system in {SpaDES}: using historical landscape variation for the {LandWeb} project},\n\tbooktitle = {Canadian {Society} of {Ecology} and {Evolution}, {Victoria}, {BC}},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E. J. B. and Andison, David and Cumming, S. G. and Luo, Yong and Chubaty, Alex},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; Campbell, E. M.; Winder, R. S.; Chubaty*, A.; Wulder, M. A.; and others\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Building a continuous adaptive management system in SpaDES: dialing down the risk for woodland caribou.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ontario, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_building_2017-1,\n\taddress = {Ontario},\n\ttitle = {Building a continuous adaptive management system in {SpaDES}: dialing down the risk for woodland caribou},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E. J. B. and Campbell, Elizabeth M. and Winder, R. S. and Chubaty*, Alex and Wulder, Michael A. and others},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A.; McIntire, E. J. B.; and Cooke, B. J.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Boreal insect disturbance in SpaDES: an integrated simulation model of mountain pine beetle eastward spread.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Entomological Society of Canada, Winnipeg, Canada, 2017. \n \n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"BorealPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{chubaty_boreal_2017,\n\taddress = {Winnipeg, Canada},\n\ttitle = {Boreal insect disturbance in {SpaDES}: an integrated simulation model of mountain pine beetle eastward spread},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2ZNPaJoLI9xZFJZNVhkZGpsS2M/view?usp=sharing},\n\tbooktitle = {Entomological {Society} of {Canada}},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex and McIntire, E. J. B. and Cooke, Barry J.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A.; McIntire, E. J. B.; Cooke, B. J.; Cumming, S. G.; and Luo*, Y.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Boreal insect disturbance in SpaDES: an integrated simulation model of mountain pine beetle eastward spread.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Victoria BC, 2017. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"BorealPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{chubaty_boreal_2017-1,\n\taddress = {Victoria BC},\n\ttitle = {Boreal insect disturbance in {SpaDES}: an integrated simulation model of mountain pine beetle eastward spread},\n\turl = {https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2ZNPaJoLI9xZFJZNVhkZGpsS2M/view?usp=sharing},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex and McIntire, E. J. B. and Cooke, Barry J. and Cumming, S. G. and Luo*, Yong},\n\tyear = {2017},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Clason, A.; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Whitebark pine on the edge? Abiotic and biotic drivers interact to limit species range.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Canadian Society of Ecology and Evolution, Victoria, BC, 2017. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{clason_whitebark_2017,\n\taddress = {Victoria, BC},\n\ttitle = {Whitebark pine on the edge? {Abiotic} and biotic drivers interact to limit species range},\n\tbooktitle = {Canadian {Society} of {Ecology} and {Evolution}},\n\tauthor = {Clason, Alana and McIntire, E. J. B.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Chubaty, A.; McIntire, E. J. B.; and Cooke, B. J.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Simulating MPB invasive spread control in Saskatchewan using SpaDES.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Fredericton, NB, 2017. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{chubaty_simulating_2017,\n\taddress = {Fredericton, NB},\n\ttitle = {Simulating {MPB} invasive spread control in {Saskatchewan} using {SpaDES}},\n\tauthor = {Chubaty, Alex and McIntire, E. J. B. and Cooke, Barry J.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Cumming, S. G.; McIntire, E. J. B.; Luo, Y.; Chubaty*, A.; and Woolford, D.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Burning in SpaDES: Automated parameter estimation for landscape fire models.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Canadian Society of Ecology and Evolution, Victoria BC, 2017. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{cumming_burning_2017,\n\taddress = {Victoria BC},\n\ttitle = {Burning in {SpaDES}: {Automated} parameter estimation for landscape fire models},\n\tbooktitle = {Canadian {Society} of {Ecology} and {Evolution}},\n\tauthor = {Cumming, Steve G. and McIntire, E. J. B. and Luo, Yong and Chubaty*, Alex and Woolford, D.},\n\tyear = {2017},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2015\n \n \n (2)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Data to decisions: Connecting data, science, and models with the policy and decision makers.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Presentation to policy makers. Ottawa, ON, 2015. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"DataPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_data_2015,\n\taddress = {Presentation to policy makers. Ottawa, ON},\n\ttitle = {Data to decisions: {Connecting} data, science, and models with the policy and decision makers},\n\turl = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/4tiys8ydzavkpvr/McIntire%20-%202015%20-%20Data%20to%20decisions%20Connecting%20data%2C%20science%2C%20and%20m.pdf?dl=1},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tyear = {2015},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n The competition cascade: Indirect facilitation emerges as a key driver of species richness.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Baltimore, Maryland, 2015. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_competition_2015,\n\taddress = {Baltimore, Maryland},\n\ttitle = {The competition cascade: {Indirect} facilitation emerges as a key driver of species richness},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E J B},\n\tyear = {2015},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2014\n \n \n (5)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n Beguin, J.; McIntire, E. J. B.; and Raulier, F.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n La conservation du caribou forestier, les feux et la récolte ligneuse: le prix à payer pour un ménage à trois.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Centre sur la biodiversité, Jardin botanique de Montréal., 2014. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{beguin_conservation_2014,\n\ttitle = {La conservation du caribou forestier, les feux et la récolte ligneuse: le prix à payer pour un ménage à trois},\n\tbooktitle = {Centre sur la biodiversité, {Jardin} botanique de {Montréal}.},\n\tauthor = {Beguin, Julien and McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Raulier, Frédéric},\n\tyear = {2014},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Renard, S.; Isabel, C.; and McIntire, E. J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Le vent, un facteur déterminant pour le maintien de la toundra alpine. Bulletin de conservation.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Société des établissements de plein air du Québec, Gaspésie, QC, 2014. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{renard_vent_2014,\n\taddress = {Société des établissements de plein air du Québec, Gaspésie, QC},\n\ttitle = {Le vent, un facteur déterminant pour le maintien de la toundra alpine. {Bulletin} de conservation},\n\tauthor = {Renard, Sebastien and Isabel, Claude and McIntire, Eliot J B},\n\tyear = {2014},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Clason, A.; Burton, P J; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Where will Whitebark Pine survive? Resilience and expansion of an endangered species at its northern edge under a changing climate.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Victoria, British Columbia, Canada, 2014. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n\n \n \n doi\n  \n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n  \n \n abstract \n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{clason_where_2014,\n\taddress = {Victoria, British Columbia, Canada},\n\ttitle = {Where will {Whitebark} {Pine} survive? {Resilience} and expansion of an endangered species at its northern edge under a changing climate},\n\tdoi = {10.13140/2.1.3452.8320},\n\tabstract = {Objectives: 1) Where does whitebark pine currently occur across the northern extent of its range: What may explain current distribution patterns? 2) How will dispersal and regeneration establishment constrain current and potential future whitebark pine habitats? 3) How will stand-level community interactions affect vulnerability of whitebark pine to climate change? 4) Where is whitebark most likely to occur in the future under a changing climate given these bio-physical interactions? Where will whitebark pine be resilient to climate change and where might it successfully establish beyond its current range?},\n\tauthor = {Clason, Alana and Burton, P J and McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tyear = {2014},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n Objectives: 1) Where does whitebark pine currently occur across the northern extent of its range: What may explain current distribution patterns? 2) How will dispersal and regeneration establishment constrain current and potential future whitebark pine habitats? 3) How will stand-level community interactions affect vulnerability of whitebark pine to climate change? 4) Where is whitebark most likely to occur in the future under a changing climate given these bio-physical interactions? Where will whitebark pine be resilient to climate change and where might it successfully establish beyond its current range?\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Renard, S.; McIntire, E. J B; and Fajardo, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n « Le vent l’emportera » - La couverture neigeuse, un facteur déterminant pour le maintien de la toundra alpine dans le parc national de la Gaspésie.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Jardin Botanique de Montréal, Montréal, QC, 2014. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{renard__2014,\n\taddress = {Jardin Botanique de Montréal, Montréal, QC},\n\ttitle = {« {Le} vent l’emportera » - {La} couverture neigeuse, un facteur déterminant pour le maintien de la toundra alpine dans le parc national de la {Gaspésie}},\n\tauthor = {Renard, Sebastien and McIntire, Eliot J B and Fajardo, Alex},\n\tyear = {2014},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Marchal, J.; Cumming, S. G; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Effet des changements de végétation et climatiques sur la fréquence des feux.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Jardin Botanique de Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada, 2014. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{marchal_effet_2014,\n\taddress = {Jardin Botanique de Montréal, Montréal, QC, Canada},\n\ttitle = {Effet des changements de végétation et climatiques sur la fréquence des feux},\n\tauthor = {Marchal, Jean and Cumming, Steve G and McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tyear = {2014},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2013\n \n \n (1)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n Renard, S.; McIntire, E. J B; and Fajardo, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n A natural experiment to measure the effect of multiple drivers on survival of tree seedlings in the alpine treeline ecotone.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ecological Society of America, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 2013. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{renard_natural_2013,\n\taddress = {Minneapolis, MN, USA},\n\ttitle = {A natural experiment to measure the effect of multiple drivers on survival of tree seedlings in the alpine treeline ecotone},\n\tbooktitle = {Ecological {Society} of {America}},\n\tauthor = {Renard, Sebastien and McIntire, Eliot J B and Fajardo, Alex},\n\tyear = {2013},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2012\n \n \n (3)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E J B\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Forecasting insect populations through complex spatial landscapes: Modern approaches meet field biology.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Departmental Seminar, Washington State University, 2012. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_forecasting_2012,\n\taddress = {Departmental Seminar, Washington State University},\n\ttitle = {Forecasting insect populations through complex spatial landscapes: {Modern} approaches meet field biology},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, E J B},\n\tyear = {2012},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Renard, S.; McIntire, E. J. B.; and Fajardo, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Facilitation and reproduction: Improving cone production thanks to conspecific tree neighbors in the alpine treeline.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting. Portland, OR, 2012. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{renard_facilitation_2012,\n\taddress = {Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting. Portland, OR},\n\ttitle = {Facilitation and reproduction: {Improving} cone production thanks to conspecific tree neighbors in the alpine treeline},\n\tauthor = {Renard, Sebastien and McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Fajardo, Alex},\n\tyear = {2012},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; and Fajardo, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n \n Moving facilitation out of its niche: Tree merging, supertrees, and the limits to the stress-gradient hypothesis.\n \n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting. Portland, OR, 2012. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n \n \n \"MovingPaper\n  \n \n\n \n\n \n link\n  \n \n\n bibtex\n \n\n \n\n \n\n \n \n \n \n \n \n \n\n  \n \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_moving_2012,\n\taddress = {Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting. Portland, OR},\n\ttitle = {Moving facilitation out of its niche: {Tree} merging, supertrees, and the limits to the stress-gradient hypothesis},\n\turl = {https://www.dropbox.com/s/qq4otui2x5gbew0/McIntire_Thurs_820_Facilitation%20out%20of%20niche2.pdf?dl=1},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Fajardo, Alex},\n\tyear = {2012},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n
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\n  \n 2010\n \n \n (1)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n Isabel, N.; Talbot, P; Lamothe, M; Bousquet, J; Schroeder, W; Floate, K; Foottit, R; Ruiz, R G; Cumming, S. G; McIntire, E. J. B.; and Thompson, S. L.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Contemporary gene flow between poplars with exotic component and natural populations of native species across Canada.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Fifth International Poplar Symposium. Orvieto TR, Italy, 20-25 September 2010, 2010. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{isabel_contemporary_2010,\n\taddress = {Fifth International Poplar Symposium. Orvieto TR, Italy, 20-25 September 2010},\n\ttitle = {Contemporary gene flow between poplars with exotic component and natural populations of native species across {Canada}},\n\tauthor = {Isabel, Nathalie and Talbot, P and Lamothe, M and Bousquet, J and Schroeder, W and Floate, K and Foottit, R and Ruiz, R G and Cumming, Steve G and McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Thompson, S. L.},\n\tyear = {2010},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; Schultz, C. B.; and Crone, E. E.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Moving through complex landscapes: the bane and promise of individual based models.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In International Society Ecological Modeling, Quebec, QC, 2009. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_moving_2009,\n\taddress = {International Society Ecological Modeling, Quebec, QC},\n\ttitle = {Moving through complex landscapes: the bane and promise of individual based models},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Schultz, Cheryl B. and Crone, Elizabeth E.},\n\tyear = {2009},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; and Fajardo, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Beyond description: the active and effective way to infer process from pattern.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Ecological Society of America, Annual Meeting, Albuquerque, NM, 2009. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_beyond_2009,\n\taddress = {Ecological Society of America, Annual Meeting, Albuquerque, NM},\n\ttitle = {Beyond description: the active and effective way to infer process from pattern},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Fajardo, Alex},\n\tyear = {2009},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; and Crone, E. E.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Masting Synchrony in Whitebark Pine: what does it means to be a “masting year”?.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In Annual Meeting, Whitebark Pine Society, Nelson, BC, 2009. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_masting_2009,\n\taddress = {Annual Meeting, Whitebark Pine Society, Nelson, BC},\n\ttitle = {Masting {Synchrony} in {Whitebark} {Pine}: what does it means to be a “masting year”?},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Crone, Elizabeth E.},\n\tyear = {2009},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Marucco, F.; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Predicting spatial and temporal recolonization of large carnivore populations: wolves in the Italian Alps.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In International Society Ecological Modeling, Quebec, QC, 2009. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{marucco_predicting_2009,\n\taddress = {International Society Ecological Modeling, Quebec, QC},\n\ttitle = {Predicting spatial and temporal recolonization of large carnivore populations: wolves in the {Italian} {Alps}},\n\tauthor = {Marucco, F. and McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tyear = {2009},\n}\n\n
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\n \n\n \n \n Rompré, G.; and McIntire, E. J. B.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Biased correlated random walk vs foray loop: which movement hypothesis drives a butterfly metapopulation?.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In International Society Ecological Modeling, Quebec, QC, 2009. \n 00000\n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{rompre_biased_2009,\n\taddress = {International Society Ecological Modeling, Quebec, QC},\n\ttitle = {Biased correlated random walk vs foray loop: which movement hypothesis drives a butterfly metapopulation?},\n\tauthor = {Rompré, Ghislain and McIntire, Eliot J. B.},\n\tyear = {2009},\n\tnote = {00000},\n}\n\n
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\n  \n 2007\n \n \n (1)\n \n \n
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\n \n\n \n \n McIntire, E. J. B.; and Fajardo, A.\n\n\n \n \n \n \n Distinguishing Microsite and Competition Processes in Tree Growth Dynamics.\n \n \n \n\n\n \n\n\n\n In North American Forest Ecology Workshop, 6th Annual, Vancouver, BC, 2007. \n \n\n\n\n
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@inproceedings{mcintire_distinguishing_2007,\n\taddress = {North American Forest Ecology Workshop, 6th Annual, Vancouver, BC},\n\ttitle = {Distinguishing {Microsite} and {Competition} {Processes} in {Tree} {Growth} {Dynamics}},\n\tauthor = {McIntire, Eliot J. B. and Fajardo, Alex},\n\tyear = {2007},\n}\n\n
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