Extreme Weather and Civil War: Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia through Livestock Price Shocks?. Maystadt, J. & Ecker, O. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 96(4):1157–1182, July, 2014.
Extreme Weather and Civil War: Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia through Livestock Price Shocks? [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia.
@article{maystadt_extreme_2014,
	title = {Extreme {Weather} and {Civil} {War}: {Does} {Drought} {Fuel} {Conflict} in {Somalia} through {Livestock} {Price} {Shocks}?},
	volume = {96},
	issn = {0002-9092, 1467-8276},
	shorttitle = {Extreme {Weather} and {Civil} {War}},
	url = {https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-lookup/doi/10.1093/ajae/aau010},
	doi = {10.1093/ajae/aau010},
	abstract = {A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62\%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia.},
	language = {en},
	number = {4},
	urldate = {2017-10-04},
	journal = {American Journal of Agricultural Economics},
	author = {Maystadt, J.-F. and Ecker, O.},
	month = jul,
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {CK, Untagged},
	pages = {1157--1182},
}

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