@article{
 title = {Escenarios climáticos para temporadas con alto y bajo número de huracanes en el Atlántico},
 type = {article},
 year = {2007},
 identifiers = {[object Object]},
 keywords = {crn2050},
 pages = {1-13},
 volume = {7},
 websites = {http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes,citeulike-article-id:6782234},
 id = {ccfc4f94-221a-3e0a-b2d5-6204b397bd35},
 created = {2019-04-01T18:02:23.316Z},
 file_attached = {false},
 profile_id = {1f5347e3-dec5-3349-a941-3b484c2dfce9},
 group_id = {184ee5d4-bd93-3566-938b-14cc43849390},
 last_modified = {2019-04-01T18:02:23.316Z},
 read = {false},
 starred = {false},
 authored = {false},
 confirmed = {false},
 hidden = {false},
 source_type = {JOUR},
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 abstract = {Variability in the annual number of Tropical Cyclones for the Atlantic was studied as a function of the interannualand decadal variability of Sea Surface Temperature (SST). Given a scenario below normal, neutral and above normal in some selected SST indices for 1944- 2004 (61 years), contingency table analysis was used to calculate the conditional probabilities for scenarios below normal, neutral and above normal for different annual time series of tropical cyclones activity in the Atlantic basin. This annual activity was conditioned on the difference between the normalized SST of the tropical North Atlantic and the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. Lower than average activity years were observed with cooler (warmer) than average temperatures in the Tropical North Atlantic (Eastern Equatorial Pacific), greater wind shear over the Tropical North Atlantic but smaller over the Eastern Tropical Pacific, near Central America; and higher (lower) sea level pressure in the Tropical North Atlantic (Eastern Equatorial Pacific). Higher than average activity years were observed in general terms with opposite anomaly patterns in the regionsdescribed previously.},
 bibtype = {article},
 author = {Alfaro, E J},
 journal = {Revista de Climatologia}
}

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