In Search of Peace: Structural Adjustment, Violence, and International Migration. ALVARADO, S. E. & MASSEY, D. S. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 630:137–161, 2010. Publisher: [Sage Publications, Inc., American Academy of Political and Social Science]
In Search of Peace: Structural Adjustment, Violence, and International Migration [link]Paper  abstract   bibtex   
The authors analyze the effects of structural adjustment and violence on international mirgration from selected countries in Latin America by estimating a series of event history models that predicted the likelihood of initial migration to the United States as a function of the murder rate, economic openness, and selected controls in the country of origin. Although several theories posit a connection between structural economic change and violence, such a pattern held only in Nicaragua, where the homicide rate increased as the economy was opened to trade and average incomes deteriorated. Moreover, only in Nicaragua was lethal violence positively related to out-migration. In Mexico, Costa Rica, and Guatemala, rising violence reduced the likelihood of emigration. Violence does not appear to have uniform effects on patterns of international migration but depends on broader social and political conditions within particular countries.
@article{alvarado_search_2010,
	title = {In {Search} of {Peace}: {Structural} {Adjustment}, {Violence}, and {International} {Migration}},
	volume = {630},
	issn = {0002-7162},
	shorttitle = {In {Search} of {Peace}},
	url = {https://www.jstor.org/stable/20743991},
	abstract = {The authors analyze the effects of structural adjustment and violence on international mirgration from selected countries in Latin America by estimating a series of event history models that predicted the likelihood of initial migration to the United States as a function of the murder rate, economic openness, and selected controls in the country of origin. Although several theories posit a connection between structural economic change and violence, such a pattern held only in Nicaragua, where the homicide rate increased as the economy was opened to trade and average incomes deteriorated. Moreover, only in Nicaragua was lethal violence positively related to out-migration. In Mexico, Costa Rica, and Guatemala, rising violence reduced the likelihood of emigration. Violence does not appear to have uniform effects on patterns of international migration but depends on broader social and political conditions within particular countries.},
	urldate = {2021-04-18},
	journal = {The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science},
	author = {ALVARADO, STEVEN ELÍAS and MASSEY, DOUGLAS S.},
	year = {2010},
	note = {Publisher: [Sage Publications, Inc., American Academy of Political and Social Science]},
	pages = {137--161},
}

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