@techreport{bailey_extreme_2015,
	title = {Extreme weather and resilience of the global food system},
	url = {http://www.foodsecurity.ac.uk/assets/pdfs/extreme-weather-resilience-of-global-food-system.pdf},
	abstract = {A Taskforce of academics, industry and policy experts was commissioned to examine the resilience of the global food system to extreme weather. This summary is built on three detailed reports: 
Climate and global production shocks (Annex A),  Review of the responses to production shocks  (Annex B) and the Country-level impacts of global grain production shocks (Annex C). 

We present evidence that the global food system is vulnerable to production shocks caused by extreme weather, and that this risk is growing. Although much more work needs to be done to reduce uncertainty, preliminary analysis of limited existing data suggests that the risk of a 1-in-100 year production shock is likely to increase to 1-in-30 or more by 2040. Additionally, recent studies suggest that our reliance on increasing volumes of global trade, whilst having many benefits, also creates structural vulnerability via a liability to amplify production shocks in some circumstances. Action is therefore needed to improve the resilience of the global food system to weather-related shocks, to mitigate their impact on people. A visual of the scenarios in the report can be found on pages 12-13.},
	urldate = {2015-08-14},
	institution = {UK-US Taskforce on Extreme Weather and Global Food System  Resilience, The Global Food Security programme,},
	author = {Bailey, Rob and Benton, Tim G. and Challinor, Andy and Elliot, Joshua and Gustafson, David and Hiller, Bradley and Jones, Aled and Jahn, Molly and Ken, Chris and Lewis, Kirsty and Meacham, Theresa and Rivington, Mike and Robson, David and Tiffin, Richard and Wuebbles, Donald J.},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, agriculture-food-famine},
	file = {Bailey et al. - 2015 - Extreme weather and resilience of the global food .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\96HP8NF6\\Bailey et al. - 2015 - Extreme weather and resilience of the global food .pdf:application/pdf}
}

{"_id":"fDrQBmfW7cddiywyz","bibbaseid":"bailey-benton-challinor-elliot-gustafson-hiller-jones-jahn-etal-extremeweatherandresilienceoftheglobalfoodsystem-2015","authorIDs":[],"author_short":["Bailey, R.","Benton, T. G.","Challinor, A.","Elliot, J.","Gustafson, D.","Hiller, B.","Jones, A.","Jahn, M.","Ken, C.","Lewis, K.","Meacham, T.","Rivington, M.","Robson, D.","Tiffin, R.","Wuebbles, D. J."],"bibdata":{"bibtype":"techreport","type":"techreport","title":"Extreme weather and resilience of the global food system","url":"http://www.foodsecurity.ac.uk/assets/pdfs/extreme-weather-resilience-of-global-food-system.pdf","abstract":"A Taskforce of academics, industry and policy experts was commissioned to examine the resilience of the global food system to extreme weather. This summary is built on three detailed reports: Climate and global production shocks (Annex A), Review of the responses to production shocks (Annex B) and the Country-level impacts of global grain production shocks (Annex C). We present evidence that the global food system is vulnerable to production shocks caused by extreme weather, and that this risk is growing. Although much more work needs to be done to reduce uncertainty, preliminary analysis of limited existing data suggests that the risk of a 1-in-100 year production shock is likely to increase to 1-in-30 or more by 2040. Additionally, recent studies suggest that our reliance on increasing volumes of global trade, whilst having many benefits, also creates structural vulnerability via a liability to amplify production shocks in some circumstances. Action is therefore needed to improve the resilience of the global food system to weather-related shocks, to mitigate their impact on people. 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This summary is built on three detailed reports: \nClimate and global production shocks (Annex A), Review of the responses to production shocks (Annex B) and the Country-level impacts of global grain production shocks (Annex C). \n\nWe present evidence that the global food system is vulnerable to production shocks caused by extreme weather, and that this risk is growing. Although much more work needs to be done to reduce uncertainty, preliminary analysis of limited existing data suggests that the risk of a 1-in-100 year production shock is likely to increase to 1-in-30 or more by 2040. Additionally, recent studies suggest that our reliance on increasing volumes of global trade, whilst having many benefits, also creates structural vulnerability via a liability to amplify production shocks in some circumstances. Action is therefore needed to improve the resilience of the global food system to weather-related shocks, to mitigate their impact on people. 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