Evaluating optimal therapy robustness by virtual expansion of a sample population, with a case study in cancer immunotherapy. Barish, S., Ochs, M., Sontag, E., & Gevertz, J. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA, 114:E6277-E6286, 2017.
Evaluating optimal therapy robustness by virtual expansion of a sample population, with a case study in cancer immunotherapy [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
This paper proposes a technique that combines experimental data, mathematical modeling, and statistical analyses for identifying optimal treatment protocols that are robust with respect to individual variability. Experimental data from a small sample population is amplified using bootstrapping to obtain a large number of virtual populations that statistically match the expected heterogeneity. Alternative therapies chosen from among a set of clinically-realizable protocols are then compared and scored according to coverage. As proof of concept, the method is used to evaluate a treatment with oncolytic viruses and dendritic cell vaccines in a mouse model of melanoma. The analysis shows that while every scheduling variant of an experimentally-utilized treatment protocol is fragile (non-robust), there is an alternative region of dosing space (lower oncolytic virus dose, higher dendritic cell dose) for which a robust optimal protocol exists.
@ARTICLE{gevertz2017bootstrap,
   AUTHOR       = {S. Barish and M.F. Ochs and E.D. Sontag and J.L. Gevertz},
   JOURNAL      = {Proc Natl Acad Sci USA},
   TITLE        = {Evaluating optimal therapy robustness by virtual 
      expansion of a sample population, with a case study in cancer 
      immunotherapy},
   YEAR         = {2017},
   OPTMONTH     = {},
   OPTNOTE      = {},
   OPTNUMBER    = {},
   PAGES        = {E6277-E6286},
   VOLUME       = {114},
   KEYWORDS     = {cancer, oncolytic therapy, immunotherapy, 
      optimal therapy},
   URL          = {http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2017/07/14/1703355114.abstract},
   PDF          = {../../FTPDIR/barish_ochs_sontag_gevertz_optimal_therapy_robustness_pnas2017.pdf},
   ABSTRACT     = {This paper proposes a technique that combines 
      experimental data, mathematical modeling, and statistical analyses 
      for identifying optimal treatment protocols that are robust with 
      respect to individual variability. Experimental data from a small 
      sample population is amplified using bootstrapping to obtain a large 
      number of virtual populations that statistically match the expected 
      heterogeneity. Alternative therapies chosen from among a set of 
      clinically-realizable protocols are then compared and scored 
      according to coverage. As proof of concept, the method is used to 
      evaluate a treatment with oncolytic viruses and dendritic cell 
      vaccines in a mouse model of melanoma. The analysis shows that while 
      every scheduling variant of an experimentally-utilized treatment 
      protocol is fragile (non-robust), there is an alternative region of 
      dosing space (lower oncolytic virus dose, higher dendritic cell dose) 
      for which a robust optimal protocol exists.},
   DOI          = {10.1073/pnas.1703355114}
}

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