Approaching a State Shift in Earth/'s Biosphere

Approaching a State Shift in Earth/'s Biosphere. Barnosky, A. D., Hadly, E. A., Bascompte, J., Berlow, E. L., Brown, J. H., Fortelius, M., Getz, W. M., Harte, J., Hastings, A., Marquet, P. A., Martinez, N. D., Mooers, A., Roopnarine, P., Vermeij, G., Williams, J. W., Gillespie, R., Kitzes, J., Marshall, C., Matzke, N., Mindell, D. P., Revilla, E., & Smith, A. B. 486(7401):52–58.

Paper doi abstract bibtex

Localized ecological systems are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across critical thresholds. Here we review evidence that the global ecosystem as a whole can react in the same way and is approaching a planetary-scale critical transition as a result of human influence. The plausibility of a planetary-scale tipping point highlights the need to improve biological forecasting by detecting early warning signs of critical transitions on global as well as local scales, and by detecting feedbacks that promote such transitions. It is also necessary to address root causes of how humans are forcing biological changes.

@article{barnoskyApproachingStateShift2012,
  title = {Approaching a State Shift in {{Earth}}/'s Biosphere},
  author = {Barnosky, Anthony D. and Hadly, Elizabeth A. and Bascompte, Jordi and Berlow, Eric L. and Brown, James H. and Fortelius, Mikael and Getz, Wayne M. and Harte, John and Hastings, Alan and Marquet, Pablo A. and Martinez, Neo D. and Mooers, Arne and Roopnarine, Peter and Vermeij, Geerat and Williams, John W. and Gillespie, Rosemary and Kitzes, Justin and Marshall, Charles and Matzke, Nicholas and Mindell, David P. and Revilla, Eloy and Smith, Adam B.},
  date = {2012-06},
  journaltitle = {Nature},
  volume = {486},
  pages = {52--58},
  issn = {0028-0836},
  doi = {10.1038/nature11018},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11018},
  abstract = {Localized ecological systems are known to shift abruptly and irreversibly from one state to another when they are forced across critical thresholds. Here we review evidence that the global ecosystem as a whole can react in the same way and is approaching a planetary-scale critical transition as a result of human influence. The plausibility of a planetary-scale  tipping point  highlights the need to improve biological forecasting by detecting early warning signs of critical transitions on global as well as local scales, and by detecting feedbacks that promote such transitions. It is also necessary to address root causes of how humans are forcing biological changes.},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-10753680,climate-change,global-scale,irreversibility,multiauthor,state-shift,tipping-point},
  number = {7401}
}

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