An Essay towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances. Bayes, T Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, 53:370--418, January, 1763.
bibtex   
@article{Bayes1763,
author = {Bayes, T},
journal = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London},
keywords = {classico,history},
mendeley-tags = {classico,history},
month = jan,
pages = {370--418},
title = {{An Essay towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances.}},
volume = {53},
year = {1763}
}
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