No unbiased estimator of the variance of k-fold cross-validation. Bengio, Y. & Grandvalet, Y. Journal of machine learning research, 5(Sep):1089–1105, 2004.
bibtex   
@article{bengio_no_2004,
	title = {No unbiased estimator of the variance of k-fold cross-validation},
	volume = {5},
	number = {Sep},
	journal = {Journal of machine learning research},
	author = {Bengio, Yoshua and Grandvalet, Yves},
	year = {2004},
	pages = {1089--1105},
}

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