An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk. Billio, M., Casarin, R., Costola, M., & Pasqualini, A. Technical Report 12, SYRTO WORKING PAPER SERIES, 2015. 00000Paper abstract bibtex The purpose of this paper is the construction of an early warning indicator for systemic risk using entropy measures. The analysis is based on the cross-sectional distribution of marginal systemic risk measures such as Marginal Expected Shortfall, Delta CoVaR and network connectedness. These measures are conceived at a single institution for the financial industry in the Euro area. We estimate entropy on these measures by considering different definitions (Shannon, Tsallis and Renyi). Finally, we test if these entropy indicators show forecasting abilities in predicting banking crises. In this regard, we use the variable presented in Babeck`y et al. (2012) and Alessi and Detken (2011) from European Central Bank. Entropy indicators show promising forecast abilities to predict financial and banking crisis. The proposed early warning signals reveal to be effective in forecasting financial distress conditions.
@techreport{billio_entropy-based_2015,
title = {An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk},
url = {http://syrtoproject.eu/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/UNIVE36.pdf},
abstract = {The purpose of this paper is the construction of an early warning indicator
for systemic risk using entropy measures. The analysis is based
on the cross-sectional distribution of marginal systemic risk measures
such as Marginal Expected Shortfall, Delta CoVaR and network connectedness.
These measures are conceived at a single institution for the
financial industry in the Euro area. We estimate entropy on these measures
by considering different definitions (Shannon, Tsallis and Renyi).
Finally, we test if these entropy indicators show forecasting abilities in
predicting banking crises. In this regard, we use the variable presented
in Babeck`y et al. (2012) and Alessi and Detken (2011) from European
Central Bank. Entropy indicators show promising forecast abilities to
predict financial and banking crisis. The proposed early warning signals
reveal to be effective in forecasting financial distress conditions.},
number = {12},
urldate = {2015-05-27},
institution = {SYRTO WORKING PAPER SERIES},
author = {Billio, Monica and Casarin, Roberto and Costola, Michele and Pasqualini, Andrea},
year = {2015},
note = {00000},
keywords = {collapse, early-warning-signals, systemic-risks},
file = {Billio et al. - 2015 - An entropy-based early warning indicator for syste.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\99KCA43V\\Billio et al. - 2015 - An entropy-based early warning indicator for syste.pdf:application/pdf}
}
Downloads: 0
{"_id":"XBv8czyhf7Rdds8Xs","bibbaseid":"billio-casarin-costola-pasqualini-anentropybasedearlywarningindicatorforsystemicrisk-2015","authorIDs":[],"author_short":["Billio, M.","Casarin, R.","Costola, M.","Pasqualini, A."],"bibdata":{"bibtype":"techreport","type":"techreport","title":"An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk","url":"http://syrtoproject.eu/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/UNIVE36.pdf","abstract":"The purpose of this paper is the construction of an early warning indicator for systemic risk using entropy measures. The analysis is based on the cross-sectional distribution of marginal systemic risk measures such as Marginal Expected Shortfall, Delta CoVaR and network connectedness. These measures are conceived at a single institution for the financial industry in the Euro area. We estimate entropy on these measures by considering different definitions (Shannon, Tsallis and Renyi). Finally, we test if these entropy indicators show forecasting abilities in predicting banking crises. In this regard, we use the variable presented in Babeck`y et al. (2012) and Alessi and Detken (2011) from European Central Bank. Entropy indicators show promising forecast abilities to predict financial and banking crisis. The proposed early warning signals reveal to be effective in forecasting financial distress conditions.","number":"12","urldate":"2015-05-27","institution":"SYRTO WORKING PAPER SERIES","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Billio"],"firstnames":["Monica"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Casarin"],"firstnames":["Roberto"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Costola"],"firstnames":["Michele"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Pasqualini"],"firstnames":["Andrea"],"suffixes":[]}],"year":"2015","note":"00000","keywords":"collapse, early-warning-signals, systemic-risks","file":"Billio et al. - 2015 - An entropy-based early warning indicator for syste.pdf:C\\:\\\\Users\\s̊rs\\\\Documents\\\\Zotero Database\\\\storage\\\\99KCA43V\\\\Billio et al. - 2015 - An entropy-based early warning indicator for syste.pdf:application/pdf","bibtex":"@techreport{billio_entropy-based_2015,\n\ttitle = {An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk},\n\turl = {http://syrtoproject.eu/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/UNIVE36.pdf},\n\tabstract = {The purpose of this paper is the construction of an early warning indicator\nfor systemic risk using entropy measures. The analysis is based\non the cross-sectional distribution of marginal systemic risk measures\nsuch as Marginal Expected Shortfall, Delta CoVaR and network connectedness.\nThese measures are conceived at a single institution for the\nfinancial industry in the Euro area. We estimate entropy on these measures\nby considering different definitions (Shannon, Tsallis and Renyi).\nFinally, we test if these entropy indicators show forecasting abilities in\npredicting banking crises. In this regard, we use the variable presented\nin Babeck`y et al. (2012) and Alessi and Detken (2011) from European\nCentral Bank. Entropy indicators show promising forecast abilities to\npredict financial and banking crisis. The proposed early warning signals\nreveal to be effective in forecasting financial distress conditions.},\n\tnumber = {12},\n\turldate = {2015-05-27},\n\tinstitution = {SYRTO WORKING PAPER SERIES},\n\tauthor = {Billio, Monica and Casarin, Roberto and Costola, Michele and Pasqualini, Andrea},\n\tyear = {2015},\n\tnote = {00000},\n\tkeywords = {collapse, early-warning-signals, systemic-risks},\n\tfile = {Billio et al. - 2015 - An entropy-based early warning indicator for syste.pdf:C\\:\\\\Users\\\\rsrs\\\\Documents\\\\Zotero Database\\\\storage\\\\99KCA43V\\\\Billio et al. - 2015 - An entropy-based early warning indicator for syste.pdf:application/pdf}\n}\n\n","author_short":["Billio, M.","Casarin, R.","Costola, M.","Pasqualini, A."],"key":"billio_entropy-based_2015","id":"billio_entropy-based_2015","bibbaseid":"billio-casarin-costola-pasqualini-anentropybasedearlywarningindicatorforsystemicrisk-2015","role":"author","urls":{"Paper":"http://syrtoproject.eu/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/UNIVE36.pdf"},"keyword":["collapse","early-warning-signals","systemic-risks"],"downloads":0,"html":""},"bibtype":"techreport","biburl":"http://www.collapsologie.fr/bib.bib","creationDate":"2019-06-13T15:56:07.221Z","downloads":0,"keywords":["collapse","early-warning-signals","systemic-risks"],"search_terms":["entropy","based","early","warning","indicator","systemic","risk","billio","casarin","costola","pasqualini"],"title":"An entropy-based early warning indicator for systemic risk","year":2015,"dataSources":["97shAbFSxL7A7SHoh"]}