Predicting Tipping Points. Blaustein, R. World Policy Journal, 32(1):32–41, 2015. 00000
Predicting Tipping Points [link]Paper  abstract   bibtex   
So far, climate change diplomacy has been ineffectual at addressing the global emissions problem, with only economic downturn having a large-scale mitigating effect—hardly the best policy choice. However, an increasing number of scientists are now in preparation mode, hoping governments and international organizations will at least develop the means to anticipate tipping points—when natural systems flip to harsher, altered states. In fact, in this decade, a robust university-based scientific discourse on predicting tipping points is debuting. Some are urging that these investigations be broadened and that government networks prepare for a changing, less-familiar natural world.
@article{blaustein_predicting_2015,
	title = {Predicting {Tipping} {Points}},
	volume = {32},
	url = {http://wpj.dukejournals.org/content/32/1/32.full},
	abstract = {So  far,  climate  change  diplomacy  has  been  ineffectual  at  addressing  the  global  emissions  problem,  with  only  economic  downturn  having  a  large-scale  mitigating effect—hardly the best policy choice.  However,  an  increasing  number  of  scientists are now in preparation mode, hoping governments  and  international  organizations  will  at  least  develop  the  means  to  anticipate  tipping  points—when  natural  systems  flip  to  harsher,  altered  states.  In  fact,  in  this  decade, a robust  university-based  scientific discourse  on  predicting tipping points is debuting. Some are urging that these investigations be broadened and that government networks prepare for a  changing, less-familiar natural  world.},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2016-12-19},
	journal = {World Policy Journal},
	author = {Blaustein, Richard},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, early-warning-signals},
	pages = {32--41},
	file = {Blaustein - 2015 - Predicting Tipping Points.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\SMDTFPFD\\Blaustein - 2015 - Predicting Tipping Points.pdf:application/pdf}
}

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