2500 Years of European Climate Variability and Human Susceptibility. Büntgen, U., Tegel, W., Nicolussi, K., McCormick, M., Frank, D., Trouet, V., Kaplan, J. O., Herzig, F., Heussner, K., Wanner, H., Luterbacher, J., & Esper, J. Science, 331(6017):578–582, February, 2011. Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
Paper doi abstract bibtex Climate variations influenced the agricultural productivity, health risk, and conflict level of preindustrial societies. Discrimination between environmental and anthropogenic impacts on past civilizations, however, remains difficult because of the paucity of high-resolution paleoclimatic evidence. We present tree ring–based reconstructions of central European summer precipitation and temperature variability over the past 2500 years. Recent warming is unprecedented, but modern hydroclimatic variations may have at times been exceeded in magnitude and duration. Wet and warm summers occurred during periods of Roman and medieval prosperity. Increased climate variability from ~250 to 600 C.E. coincided with the demise of the western Roman Empire and the turmoil of the Migration Period. Such historical data may provide a basis for counteracting the recent political and fiscal reluctance to mitigate projected climate change.
@article{buntgen_2500_2011,
title = {2500 {Years} of {European} {Climate} {Variability} and {Human} {Susceptibility}},
volume = {331},
url = {http://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.1197175},
doi = {10.1126/science.1197175},
abstract = {Climate variations influenced the agricultural productivity, health risk, and conflict level of preindustrial societies. Discrimination between environmental and anthropogenic impacts on past civilizations, however, remains difficult because of the paucity of high-resolution paleoclimatic evidence. We present tree ring–based reconstructions of central European summer precipitation and temperature variability over the past 2500 years. Recent warming is unprecedented, but modern hydroclimatic variations may have at times been exceeded in magnitude and duration. Wet and warm summers occurred during periods of Roman and medieval prosperity. Increased climate variability from {\textasciitilde}250 to 600 C.E. coincided with the demise of the western Roman Empire and the turmoil of the Migration Period. Such historical data may provide a basis for counteracting the recent political and fiscal reluctance to mitigate projected climate change.},
number = {6017},
urldate = {2023-08-02},
journal = {Science},
author = {Büntgen, Ulf and Tegel, Willy and Nicolussi, Kurt and McCormick, Michael and Frank, David and Trouet, Valerie and Kaplan, Jed O. and Herzig, Franz and Heussner, Karl-Uwe and Wanner, Heinz and Luterbacher, Jürg and Esper, Jan},
month = feb,
year = {2011},
note = {Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science},
pages = {578--582},
file = {Full Text PDF:/Users/emilyfairey/Zotero/storage/M9NDZNQA/Büntgen et al. - 2011 - 2500 Years of European Climate Variability and Hum.pdf:application/pdf},
}
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