Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper. Bröcker, J. & Smith, L. Weather and Forecasting, 22(2):382--388, April, 2007.
bibtex   
@article{Brocker2007,
author = {Br\"{o}cker, J. and Smith, L.},
journal = {Weather and Forecasting},
month = apr,
number = {2},
pages = {382--388},
title = {{Scoring Probabilistic Forecasts: The Importance of Being Proper}},
volume = {22},
year = {2007}
}

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