How Risk Management Can Prevent Future Wildfire Disasters in the Wildland-Urban Interface. Calkin, D. E., Cohen, J. D., Finney, M. A., & Thompson, M. P. 111(2):746–751.
How Risk Management Can Prevent Future Wildfire Disasters in the Wildland-Urban Interface [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
[Significance] Recent wildfire events throughout the world have highlighted the consequences of residential development in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) including hundreds to thousands of homes burned during a single wildfire to, more tragically, firefighter and homeowner fatalities. Despite substantial investments in modifying wildland fuels near populated areas, losses appear to be increasing. In this article, we examine the conditions under which WUI wildfire disasters occur and introduce a wildfire risk assessment framework. By using this framework, we examine how prefire mitigation activities failed to prevent significant structure loss during the Fourmile Canyon fire outside Boulder, CO. In light of these results, we suggest the need to reevaluate and restructure wildfire mitigation programs aimed at reducing residential losses from wildfire. [Abstract] Recent fire seasons in the western United States are some of the most damaging and costly on record. Wildfires in the wildland-urban interface on the Colorado Front Range, resulting in thousands of homes burned and civilian fatalities, although devastating, are not without historical reference. These fires are consistent with the characteristics of large, damaging, interface fires that threaten communities across much of the western United States. Wildfires are inevitable, but the destruction of homes, ecosystems, and lives is not. We propose the principles of risk analysis to provide land management agencies, first responders, and affected communities who face the inevitability of wildfires the ability to reduce the potential for loss. Overcoming perceptions of wildland-urban interface fire disasters as a wildfire control problem rather than a home ignition problem, determined by home ignition conditions, will reduce home loss.
@article{calkinHowRiskManagement2014,
  title = {How Risk Management Can Prevent Future Wildfire Disasters in the Wildland-Urban Interface},
  author = {Calkin, David E. and Cohen, Jack D. and Finney, Mark A. and Thompson, Matthew P.},
  date = {2014-01},
  journaltitle = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {111},
  pages = {746--751},
  issn = {1091-6490},
  doi = {10.1073/pnas.1315088111},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1315088111},
  abstract = {[Significance] 

Recent wildfire events throughout the world have highlighted the consequences of residential development in the wildland-urban interface (WUI) including hundreds to thousands of homes burned during a single wildfire to, more tragically, firefighter and homeowner fatalities. Despite substantial investments in modifying wildland fuels near populated areas, losses appear to be increasing. In this article, we examine the conditions under which WUI wildfire disasters occur and introduce a wildfire risk assessment framework. By using this framework, we examine how prefire mitigation activities failed to prevent significant structure loss during the Fourmile Canyon fire outside Boulder, CO. In light of these results, we suggest the need to reevaluate and restructure wildfire mitigation programs aimed at reducing residential losses from wildfire. [Abstract] 

Recent fire seasons in the western United States are some of the most damaging and costly on record. Wildfires in the wildland-urban interface on the Colorado Front Range, resulting in thousands of homes burned and civilian fatalities, although devastating, are not without historical reference. These fires are consistent with the characteristics of large, damaging, interface fires that threaten communities across much of the western United States. Wildfires are inevitable, but the destruction of homes, ecosystems, and lives is not. We propose the principles of risk analysis to provide land management agencies, first responders, and affected communities who face the inevitability of wildfires the ability to reduce the potential for loss. Overcoming perceptions of wildland-urban interface fire disasters as a wildfire control problem rather than a home ignition problem, determined by home ignition conditions, will reduce home loss.},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-12921526,~to-add-doi-URL,disturbances,economic-impacts,fire-exposure,fire-fuel,fire-management,forest-management,forest-resources,land-use,nonmarket-impacts,risk-assessment,risk-management,susceptibility,urban-areas,vulnerability,wildfires,wildland-urban-interface},
  number = {2}
}
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