Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Calvin, K., Wise, M., Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Kyle, P., Luckow, P., & Thomson, A. Climatic Change, 117(3):545–560, April, 2013. Paper doi abstract bibtex Most research on future climate change discusses mitigation and impacts/adaptation separately. However, mitigation will have implications for impacts and adaptation. Similarly, impacts and adaptation will affect mitigation. This paper begins to explore these two veins of research simultaneously using an integrated assessment model. We begin by discussing the types of interactions one might expect by impact sector. Then, we develop a numerical experiment in the agriculture sector to illustrate the importance of considering mitigation, impacts, and adaptation at the same time. In our experiment, we find that climate change can reduce crop yields, resulting in an expansion of cropland to feed a growing population and a reduction in bioenergy production. These two effects, in combination, result in an increase in the cost of mitigation.
@article{calvin_implications_2013,
title = {Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using {GCAM}},
volume = {117},
issn = {0165-0009, 1573-1480},
shorttitle = {Implications of simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change},
url = {http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y},
abstract = {Most research on future climate change discusses mitigation and impacts/adaptation separately. However, mitigation will have implications for impacts and adaptation. Similarly, impacts and adaptation will affect mitigation. This paper begins to explore these two veins of research simultaneously using an integrated assessment model. We begin by discussing the types of interactions one might expect by impact sector. Then, we develop a numerical experiment in the agriculture sector to illustrate the importance of considering mitigation, impacts, and adaptation at the same time. In our experiment, we find that climate change can reduce crop yields, resulting in an expansion of cropland to feed a growing population and a reduction in bioenergy production. These two effects, in combination, result in an increase in the cost of mitigation.},
language = {en},
number = {3},
urldate = {2017-06-29},
journal = {Climatic Change},
author = {Calvin, Katherine and Wise, Marshall and Clarke, Leon and Edmonds, Jae and Kyle, Page and Luckow, Patrick and Thomson, Allison},
month = apr,
year = {2013},
keywords = {DR, Damages, Geography: Global, IAM: Yes, Method: Empirical and Process-Based, Sector: Adaptation, Sector: Agriculture, Tags Edited, Valuation: Yes},
pages = {545--560},
}
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