Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition. Carpenter, S. R. & Brock, W. Ecology Letters, 2006.
bibtex   
@article{carpenter_rising_2006,
	title = {Rising variance: a leading indicator of ecological transition},
	volume = {9},
	journal = {Ecology Letters},
	author = {Carpenter, Stephen R. and Brock, William.},
	year = {2006},
	keywords = {NTL}
}
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