Constructed peer groups and path dependence in international organizations: The case of the international climate change negotiations. Castro, P., Hörnlein, L., & Michaelowa, K. Global Environmental Change.
Constructed peer groups and path dependence in international organizations: The case of the international climate change negotiations [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
International organizations sometimes institutionalize country groupings by specifying differentiated commitments that may, in turn, affect negotiation dynamics. Drawing on incentive-based and socialization arguments, we develop a “constructed peer group” hypothesis suggesting that by creating these groups those organizations may actually construct new lines of confrontation over and above the substance-based disagreements existing between countries. This generates a particular type of path dependence, rendering broad-based international agreements more difficult in the future. We analyze this question at the example of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's increasingly politicized split between Annex I and non-Annex I countries. Using a self-coded dataset of country oral statements during the negotiations between December 2007 and December 2009 we assess whether Annex I membership influences a country's stance toward other countries’ arguments, while controlling for country characteristics that may drive their preferences and the affiliation to Annex I. We find that the split between Annex I and non-Annex I has indeed influenced negotiation behavior and amplified the divide between developing and industrialized countries in the climate negotiations.
@article{castro_constructed_????,
	title = {Constructed peer groups and path dependence in international organizations: {The} case of the international climate change negotiations},
	issn = {0959-3780},
	shorttitle = {Constructed peer groups and path dependence in international organizations},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959378014000107},
	doi = {10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.01.007},
	abstract = {International organizations sometimes institutionalize country groupings by specifying differentiated commitments that may, in turn, affect negotiation dynamics. Drawing on incentive-based and socialization arguments, we develop a “constructed peer group” hypothesis suggesting that by creating these groups those organizations may actually construct new lines of confrontation over and above the substance-based disagreements existing between countries. This generates a particular type of path dependence, rendering broad-based international agreements more difficult in the future.
We analyze this question at the example of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's increasingly politicized split between Annex I and non-Annex I countries. Using a self-coded dataset of country oral statements during the negotiations between December 2007 and December 2009 we assess whether Annex I membership influences a country's stance toward other countries’ arguments, while controlling for country characteristics that may drive their preferences and the affiliation to Annex I. We find that the split between Annex I and non-Annex I has indeed influenced negotiation behavior and amplified the divide between developing and industrialized countries in the climate negotiations.},
	urldate = {2014-02-02},
	journal = {Global Environmental Change},
	author = {Castro, Paula and Hörnlein, Lena and Michaelowa, Katharina},
	keywords = {climate change, Differential treatment, International negotiations, multilateral environmental agreements, Regime design, UNFCCC},
	file = {ScienceDirect Full Text PDF:files/48243/Castro et al. - Constructed peer groups and path dependence in int.pdf:application/pdf;ScienceDirect Snapshot:files/48244/S0959378014000107.html:text/html}
}

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