Bayesian time-varying quantile forecasting for Value-at-Risk in financial markets. Chan, N. Y., Chen, C. W., & Gerlach, R. Technical Report 2009.
bibtex   
@techreport{chan2009bayesian,
  title={Bayesian time-varying quantile forecasting for Value-at-Risk in financial markets},
  author={Chan, Nancy YC and Chen, Cathy WS and Gerlach, Richard},
  year={2009}
}

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