@article{ciccone_economic_2011,
	title = {Economic {Shocks} and {Civil} {Conflict}: {A} {Comment}},
	volume = {3},
	issn = {1945-7782},
	shorttitle = {Economic {Shocks} and {Civil} {Conflict}},
	url = {https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/app.3.4.215},
	doi = {10.1257/app.3.4.215},
	abstract = {Edward Miguel, Shanker Satyanath, and Ernest Sergenti (2004), henceforth MSS, argue that lower rainfall levels and negative rainfall shocks increase conflict risk in sub-Saharan Africa. This conclusion rests on their finding of a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall growth between t — 1 and t — 2. I show that this finding is driven by a (counterintuitive) positive correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t — 2. If lower rainfall levels or negative rainfall shocks increased conflict, MSS's finding should have been due to a negative correlation between conflict in t and rainfall levels in t — 1. In the latest data, conflict is unrelated to rainfall. (JEL D74, E32, O11, O17, O47)},
	number = {4},
	urldate = {2017-11-21},
	journal = {American Economic Journal: Applied Economics},
	author = {Ciccone, Antonio},
	month = oct,
	year = {2011},
	keywords = {DR, Damages, Geography: Africa, Method: Empirical, Sector: Conflict, Tags Edited},
	pages = {215--227},
}

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