Climate change impacts in Europe. Final report of the PESETA research project. Ciscar, J., Soria, A., Goodess, C. M., Christensen, O. B., Iglesias, A., Garrote, L., & D. van Regemorter 2009. Paper abstract bibtex The PESETA research project integrates a set of high-resolution climate change projections and physical models into an economic modelling framework to quantify the impacts of climate change on vulnerable aspects of Europe. Four market impact categories are considered (agriculture, river floods, coastal systems, and tourism) and one non-market category (human health). Considering the market impacts, without public adaptation and if the climate of the 2080s occurred today, the EU annual welfare loss would be in the range of 0.2% to 1%, depending on the climate scenario. However, there is large variation across different climate futures, EU regions and impact categories. Scenarios with warmer temperatures and higher sea level rise result in more severe economic damage for the EU. Southern Europe, the British Isles and Central Europe North appear to be the most sensitive regions to climate change. Northern Europe is the only region with net economic benefits, mainly driven by the positive effects in agriculture. Concerning the contribution to the overall effects, coastal systems, agriculture and river flooding are the most important ones.
@misc{ciscar_climate_2009,
title = {Climate change impacts in {Europe}. {Final} report of the {PESETA} research project},
url = {http://ftp.jrc.es/EURdoc/JRC55391.pdf},
abstract = {The PESETA research project integrates a set of high-resolution climate change projections and physical models into an economic modelling framework to quantify the impacts of climate change on vulnerable aspects of Europe. Four market impact categories are considered (agriculture, river floods, coastal systems, and tourism) and one non-market category (human health).
Considering the market impacts, without public adaptation and if the climate of the 2080s occurred today, the EU annual welfare loss would be in the range of 0.2\% to 1\%, depending on the climate scenario. However, there is large variation across different climate futures, EU regions and impact categories. Scenarios with warmer temperatures and higher sea level rise result in more severe economic damage for the EU. Southern Europe, the British Isles and Central Europe North appear to be the most sensitive regions to climate change. Northern Europe is the only region with net economic benefits, mainly driven by the positive effects in agriculture. Concerning the contribution to the overall effects, coastal systems, agriculture and river flooding are the most important ones.},
urldate = {2017-06-28},
publisher = {(Institute for Environment and Sustainability-Joint Research Center, IES-JRC},
author = {Ciscar, J.-C. and Soria, A. and Goodess, C. M. and Christensen, O. B. and Iglesias, A. and Garrote, L. and {D. van Regemorter}},
year = {2009},
keywords = {DR, Damages, Geography: Europe, IAM: Yes, Method: Process-based, Sector: Agriculture, Sector: Health, Tags Edited, Valuation: Yes},
}
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Considering the market impacts, without public adaptation and if the climate of the 2080s occurred today, the EU annual welfare loss would be in the range of 0.2% to 1%, depending on the climate scenario. However, there is large variation across different climate futures, EU regions and impact categories. Scenarios with warmer temperatures and higher sea level rise result in more severe economic damage for the EU. Southern Europe, the British Isles and Central Europe North appear to be the most sensitive regions to climate change. Northern Europe is the only region with net economic benefits, mainly driven by the positive effects in agriculture. 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