Ecological Forecasts: An Emerging Imperative

Ecological Forecasts: An Emerging Imperative. Clark, J. S., Carpenter, S. R., Barber, M., Collins, S., Dobson, A., Foley, J. A., Lodge, D. M., Pascual, M., Pielke, R., Pizer, W., Pringle, C., Reid, W. V., Rose, K. A., Sala, O., Schlesinger, W. H., Wall, D. H., & Wear, D. 293(5530):657–660.

Paper doi abstract bibtex

Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.

@article{clarkEcologicalForecastsEmerging2001,
  title = {Ecological Forecasts: An Emerging Imperative},
  author = {Clark, James S. and Carpenter, Steven R. and Barber, Mary and Collins, Scott and Dobson, Andy and Foley, Jonathan A. and Lodge, David M. and Pascual, Mercedes and Pielke, Roger and Pizer, William and Pringle, Cathy and Reid, Walter V. and Rose, Kenneth A. and Sala, Osvaldo and Schlesinger, William H. and Wall, Diana H. and Wear, David},
  date = {2001},
  journaltitle = {Science},
  volume = {293},
  pages = {657--660},
  issn = {1095-9203},
  doi = {10.1126/science.293.5530.657},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1126/science.293.5530.657},
  abstract = {Planning and decision-making can be improved by access to reliable forecasts of ecosystem state, ecosystem services, and natural capital. Availability of new data sets, together with progress in computation and statistics, will increase our ability to forecast ecosystem change. An agenda that would lead toward a capacity to produce, evaluate, and communicate forecasts of critical ecosystem services requires a process that engages scientists and decision-makers. Interdisciplinary linkages are necessary because of the climate and societal controls on ecosystems, the feedbacks involving social change, and the decision-making relevance of forecasts.},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-14007185,decision-making,ecology,ecosystem,ecosystem-services,science-policy-interface,science-society-interface},
  number = {5530}
}

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