Markov models of periodically varying backgrounds for change detection. Colombo, A, Leung, V, Orwell, J, & Velastin, S. 2007.
bibtex   
@article{colombo2007markov,
  title={Markov models of periodically varying backgrounds for change detection},
  author={Colombo, A and Leung, V and Orwell, J and Velastin, SA},
  year={2007}
}

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