Drought and Civil War In Sub-Saharan Africa*. Couttenier, M. & Soubeyran, R. The Economic Journal, 124(575):201–244, March, 2014.
Drought and Civil War In Sub-Saharan Africa* [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
We explore the relationship between drought and civil war. We show that the link between rainfall, temperature and civil war found in the literature may be driven by aggregate shocks (such as global climate) that were not accounted for. A standard differences-in-differences specification relying only on within country variation reveals a much weaker and insignificant link between weather variables and civil war. To increase statistical power, we propose a country-specific measure of drought that describes social exposure to water stress in a more efficient way than rainfall and temperature. We continue to find a weak positive link between drought and civil war.
@article{couttenier_drought_2014,
	title = {Drought and {Civil} {War} {In} {Sub}-{Saharan} {Africa}*},
	volume = {124},
	copyright = {© 2013 The Author(s). The Economic Journal © 2013 Royal Economic Society},
	issn = {1468-0297},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ecoj.12042},
	doi = {10.1111/ecoj.12042},
	abstract = {We explore the relationship between drought and civil war. We show that the link between rainfall, temperature and civil war found in the literature may be driven by aggregate shocks (such as global climate) that were not accounted for. A standard differences-in-differences specification relying only on within country variation reveals a much weaker and insignificant link between weather variables and civil war. To increase statistical power, we propose a country-specific measure of drought that describes social exposure to water stress in a more efficient way than rainfall and temperature. We continue to find a weak positive link between drought and civil war.},
	language = {en},
	number = {575},
	urldate = {2018-10-06},
	journal = {The Economic Journal},
	author = {Couttenier, Mathieu and Soubeyran, Raphael},
	month = mar,
	year = {2014},
	pages = {201--244},
}

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