Features of childhood cancer in primary care: a population-based nested case-control study. Dommett, R. M., Redaniel, M. T., Stevens, M. C. G., Hamilton, W., & Martin, R. M. British Journal of Cancer, 106(5):982--987, February, 2012.
doi  abstract   bibtex   
BACKGROUND: This study investigated the risk of cancer in children with alert symptoms identified in current UK guidance, or with increased consultation frequency in primary care. METHODS: A population-based, nested case-control study used data from the General Practice Research Database. In all, 1267 children age 0-14 years diagnosed with childhood cancer were matched to 15,318 controls. Likelihood ratios and positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated to assess risk. RESULTS: Alert symptoms recorded in the 12 and 3 months before diagnosis were present in 33.7% and 27.0% of cases vs 5.4% and 1.4% of controls, respectively. The PPV of having cancer for any alert symptom in the 3 months before diagnosis was 0.55 per 1000 children. Cases consulted more frequently particularly in the 3 months before diagnosis (86% cases vs 41% controls). Of these, 36% of cases and 9% of controls had consulted 4 times or more. The PPV for cancer in a child consulting 4 times or more in 3 months was 0.13 per 1000 children. CONCLUSION: Alert symptoms and frequent consultations are associated with childhood cancer. However, individual symptoms and consultation patterns have very low PPVs for cancer in primary care (e.g., of 10,000 children with a recorded alert symptom, approximately 6 would be diagnosed with cancer within 3 months).
@article{dommett_features_2012,
	title = {Features of childhood cancer in primary care: a population-based nested case-control study},
	volume = {106},
	issn = {1532-1827},
	shorttitle = {Features of childhood cancer in primary care},
	doi = {10.1038/bjc.2011.600},
	abstract = {BACKGROUND: This study investigated the risk of cancer in children with alert symptoms identified in current UK guidance, or with increased consultation frequency in primary care.
METHODS: A population-based, nested case-control study used data from the General Practice Research Database. In all, 1267 children age 0-14 years diagnosed with childhood cancer were matched to 15,318 controls. Likelihood ratios and positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated to assess risk.
RESULTS: Alert symptoms recorded in the 12 and 3 months before diagnosis were present in 33.7\% and 27.0\% of cases vs 5.4\% and 1.4\% of controls, respectively. The PPV of having cancer for any alert symptom in the 3 months before diagnosis was 0.55 per 1000 children. Cases consulted more frequently particularly in the 3 months before diagnosis (86\% cases vs 41\% controls). Of these, 36\% of cases and 9\% of controls had consulted 4 times or more. The PPV for cancer in a child consulting 4 times or more in 3 months was 0.13 per 1000 children.
CONCLUSION: Alert symptoms and frequent consultations are associated with childhood cancer. However, individual symptoms and consultation patterns have very low PPVs for cancer in primary care (e.g., of 10,000 children with a recorded alert symptom, approximately 6 would be diagnosed with cancer within 3 months).},
	language = {eng},
	number = {5},
	journal = {British Journal of Cancer},
	author = {Dommett, R. M. and Redaniel, M. T. and Stevens, M. C. G. and Hamilton, W. and Martin, R. M.},
	month = feb,
	year = {2012},
	pmid = {22240793},
	pmcid = {PMC3307373},
	keywords = {Adolescent, Age Factors, Case-Control Studies, Child, Child, Preschool, Family Practice, Female, Great Britain, Humans, Infant, Male, Neoplasms, Population Surveillance, Primary Health Care, Risk},
	pages = {982--987}
}

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