Three Years to Safeguard Our Climate. Figueres, C., Schellnhuber, H. J., Whiteman, G., Rockstr?m, J., Hobley, A., & Rahmstorf, S. Nature, 546(7660):593–595, June, 2017. doi abstract bibtex Christiana Figueres and colleagues set out a six-point plan for turning the tide of the world's carbon dioxide by 2020. [Excerpt] [...] According to an April report1 (prepared by Carbon Tracker in London, the Climate Action Tracker consortium, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and Yale University in New Haven, Connecticut), should emissions continue to rise beyond 2020, or even remain level, the temperature goals set in Paris become almost unattainable. The UN Sustainable Development Goals that were agreed in 2015 would also be at grave risk. [...] [] The magnitude of the challenge can be grasped by computing a budget for CO2 emissions – the maximum amount of the gas that can be released before the temperature limit is breached. After subtracting past emissions, humanity is left with a 'carbon credit' of between 150 and 1,050 gigatonnes (Gt; one Gt is 1 \texttimes 109 tonnes) of CO2 to meet the Paris target of 1.5 °C or well below 2 °C (see go.nature.com/2rytztf). The wide range reflects different ways of calculating the budgets using the most recent figures. [] At the current emission rate of 41 Gt of CO2 per year, the lower limit of this range would be crossed in 4 years, and the midpoint of 600 Gt of CO2 would be passed in 15 years. If the current rate of annual emissions stays at this level, we would have to drop them almost immediately to zero once we exhaust the budget. Such a 'jump to distress' is in no one's interest. A more gradual descent would allow the global economy time to adapt smoothly. [...] [Six milestones] To prioritize actions, we've identified milestones in six sectors. [...] These goals may be idealistic at best, unrealistic at worst. However, we are in the age of exponential transformation and think that such a focus will unleash ingenuity. [...]
@article{figueresThreeYearsSafeguard2017,
title = {Three Years to Safeguard Our Climate},
author = {Figueres, Christiana and Schellnhuber, Hans J. and Whiteman, Gail and Rockstr?m, Johan and Hobley, Anthony and Rahmstorf, Stefan},
year = {2017},
month = jun,
volume = {546},
pages = {593--595},
issn = {0028-0836},
doi = {10.1038/546593a},
abstract = {Christiana Figueres and colleagues set out a six-point plan for turning the tide of the world's carbon dioxide by 2020.
[Excerpt] [...] According to an April report1 (prepared by Carbon Tracker in London, the Climate Action Tracker consortium, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and Yale University in New Haven, Connecticut), should emissions continue to rise beyond 2020, or even remain level, the temperature goals set in Paris become almost unattainable. The UN Sustainable Development Goals that were agreed in 2015 would also be at grave risk. [...]
[] The magnitude of the challenge can be grasped by computing a budget for CO2 emissions -- the maximum amount of the gas that can be released before the temperature limit is breached. After subtracting past emissions, humanity is left with a 'carbon credit' of between 150 and 1,050 gigatonnes (Gt; one Gt is 1 \texttimes{} 109 tonnes) of CO2 to meet the Paris target of 1.5 \textdegree C or well below 2 \textdegree C (see go.nature.com/2rytztf). The wide range reflects different ways of calculating the budgets using the most recent figures.
[] At the current emission rate of 41 Gt of CO2 per year, the lower limit of this range would be crossed in 4 years, and the midpoint of 600 Gt of CO2 would be passed in 15 years. If the current rate of annual emissions stays at this level, we would have to drop them almost immediately to zero once we exhaust the budget. Such a 'jump to distress' is in no one's interest. A more gradual descent would allow the global economy time to adapt smoothly. [...]
[Six milestones]
To prioritize actions, we've identified milestones in six sectors. [...] These goals may be idealistic at best, unrealistic at worst. However, we are in the age of exponential transformation and think that such a focus will unleash ingenuity. [...]},
journal = {Nature},
keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-14384358,~to-add-doi-URL,carbon-mitigation,check-list,climate-change,economics,environment-society-economy,global-warming,smooth-transition,sudden-transition},
lccn = {INRMM-MiD:c-14384358},
number = {7660}
}
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[Excerpt] [...] According to an April report1 (prepared by Carbon Tracker in London, the Climate Action Tracker consortium, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany and Yale University in New Haven, Connecticut), should emissions continue to rise beyond 2020, or even remain level, the temperature goals set in Paris become almost unattainable. The UN Sustainable Development Goals that were agreed in 2015 would also be at grave risk. [...] [] The magnitude of the challenge can be grasped by computing a budget for CO2 emissions – the maximum amount of the gas that can be released before the temperature limit is breached. After subtracting past emissions, humanity is left with a 'carbon credit' of between 150 and 1,050 gigatonnes (Gt; one Gt is 1 \\texttimes 109 tonnes) of CO2 to meet the Paris target of 1.5 °C or well below 2 °C (see go.nature.com/2rytztf). The wide range reflects different ways of calculating the budgets using the most recent figures. [] At the current emission rate of 41 Gt of CO2 per year, the lower limit of this range would be crossed in 4 years, and the midpoint of 600 Gt of CO2 would be passed in 15 years. If the current rate of annual emissions stays at this level, we would have to drop them almost immediately to zero once we exhaust the budget. Such a 'jump to distress' is in no one's interest. A more gradual descent would allow the global economy time to adapt smoothly. [...] [Six milestones] To prioritize actions, we've identified milestones in six sectors. [...] These goals may be idealistic at best, unrealistic at worst. However, we are in the age of exponential transformation and think that such a focus will unleash ingenuity. 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