Predictability and self-similarity in demand maturity of tourist destinations: The case of Tenerife. Flores-Muñoz, F.; Gutiérrez-Barroso, J.; and Báez-García, A. Cuadernos de Economia, 42(118):59–69, 2019.
Predictability and self-similarity in demand maturity of tourist destinations: The case of Tenerife [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
This work aims to explore the behavior of a mature island tourist destination, Tenerife, according to the Autoregressive Fractional Differencing Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model. This behavior will be compared to several other destinations, in an increasing geographical scale. Relevant lessons will arise for policy making at the short and long run. Predictability seems to be available but only for a limited horizon. Self similarity across geographic level seems to arise from the results. These findings complement previous conceptualizations like classic TALC (tourism area life cycle) based on long term predictability. © 2019 Asociación Cuadernos de Economía.
@article{flores-munoz_predictability_2019,
	title = {Predictability and self-similarity in demand maturity of tourist destinations: {The} case of {Tenerife}},
	volume = {42},
	issn = {02100266},
	url = {https://www2.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85058326890&doi=10.32826%2fcude.v42i118.16&partnerID=40&md5=d051a4a6cdb45bb349e8a977fea8a93d},
	doi = {10.32826/cude.v42i118.16},
	abstract = {This work aims to explore the behavior of a mature island tourist destination, Tenerife, according to the Autoregressive Fractional Differencing Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) model. This behavior will be compared to several other destinations, in an increasing geographical scale. Relevant lessons will arise for policy making at the short and long run. Predictability seems to be available but only for a limited horizon. Self similarity across geographic level seems to arise from the results. These findings complement previous conceptualizations like classic TALC (tourism area life cycle) based on long term predictability. © 2019 Asociación Cuadernos de Economía.},
	language = {English},
	number = {118},
	journal = {Cuadernos de Economia},
	author = {Flores-Muñoz, F. and Gutiérrez-Barroso, J. and Báez-García, A.J.},
	year = {2019},
	pages = {59--69}
}
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