Understanding the Bias-Variance Tradeoff. Fortmann-Roe, S. 2012.
abstract   bibtex   
When we discuss prediction models, prediction errors can be decomposed into two main subcomponents we care about: error due to "bias" and error due to "variance". There is a tradeoff between a model's ability to minimize bias and variance. Understanding these two types of error can help us diagnose model results and avoid the mistake of over- or under-fitting.
@book{fortmann-roeUnderstandingBiasvarianceTradeoff2012,
  title = {Understanding the Bias-Variance Tradeoff},
  author = {{Fortmann-Roe}, Scott},
  year = {2012},
  abstract = {When we discuss prediction models, prediction errors can be decomposed into two main subcomponents we care about: error due to "bias" and error due to "variance". There is a tradeoff between a model's ability to minimize bias and variance. Understanding these two types of error can help us diagnose model results and avoid the mistake of over- or under-fitting.},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-13849984,data-uncertainty,featured-publication,modelling-uncertainty,overfitting,prediction,prediction-bias,trade-offs,uncertainty,underfitting},
  lccn = {INRMM-MiD:c-13849984},
  series = {Essays}
}

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