Heuristics in the forecasting of complex time series: Irrational or ecologically rational?. Gagnon, J., Lafond, D., & Tremblay, S. In Bello, P., Guarini, M., McShane, M., & Scassellati, B., editors, Proceedings of the 36th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, CogSci 2014, Quebec City, Canada, July 23-26, 2014, 2014. cognitivesciencesociety.org.
Heuristics in the forecasting of complex time series: Irrational or ecologically rational? [link]Paper  bibtex   
@inproceedings{DBLP:conf/cogsci/GagnonLT14,
  author    = {Jean{-}Fran{\c{c}}ois Gagnon and
               Daniel Lafond and
               S{\'{e}}bastien Tremblay},
  editor    = {Paul Bello and
               Marcello Guarini and
               Marjorie McShane and
               Brian Scassellati},
  title     = {Heuristics in the forecasting of complex time series: Irrational or
               ecologically rational?},
  booktitle = {Proceedings of the 36th Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society,
               CogSci 2014, Quebec City, Canada, July 23-26, 2014},
  publisher = {cognitivesciencesociety.org},
  year      = {2014},
  url       = {https://mindmodeling.org/cogsci2014/papers/605/},
  timestamp = {Tue, 23 Feb 2016 15:31:32 +0100},
  biburl    = {https://dblp.org/rec/conf/cogsci/GagnonLT14.bib},
  bibsource = {dblp computer science bibliography, https://dblp.org}
}

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