Sea-level feedback lowers projections of future Antarctic Ice-Sheet mass loss. Gomez, N., Pollard, D., & Holland, D. Nature Communications, 6:1-8, Nature Publishing Group, 2015.
Sea-level feedback lowers projections of future Antarctic Ice-Sheet mass loss [link]Website  doi  abstract   bibtex   
The stability of marine sectors of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) in a warming climate has been identified as the largest source of uncertainty in projections of future sea-level rise. Sea-level fall near the grounding line of a retreating marine ice sheet has a stabilizing influence on the ice sheets, and previous studies have established the importance of this feedback on ice age AIS evolution. Here we use a coupled ice sheet–sea-level model to investigate the impact of the feedback mechanism on future AIS retreat over centennial and millennial timescales for a range of emission scenarios. We show that the combination of bedrock uplift and sea-surface drop associated with ice-sheet retreat significantly reduces AIS mass loss relative to a simulation without these effects included. Sensitivity analyses show that the stabilization tends to be greatest for lower emission scenarios and Earth models characterized by a thin elastic lithosphere and low-viscosity upper mantle, as is the case for West Antarctica.
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 title = {Sea-level feedback lowers projections of future Antarctic Ice-Sheet mass loss},
 type = {article},
 year = {2015},
 pages = {1-8},
 volume = {6},
 websites = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms9798},
 publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
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 abstract = {The stability of marine sectors of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) in a warming climate has been identified as the largest source of uncertainty in projections of future sea-level rise. Sea-level fall near the grounding line of a retreating marine ice sheet has a stabilizing influence on the ice sheets, and previous studies have established the importance of this feedback on ice age AIS evolution. Here we use a coupled ice sheet–sea-level model to investigate the impact of the feedback mechanism on future AIS retreat over centennial and millennial timescales for a range of emission scenarios. We show that the combination of bedrock uplift and sea-surface drop associated with ice-sheet retreat significantly reduces AIS mass loss relative to a simulation without these effects included. Sensitivity analyses show that the stabilization tends to be greatest for lower emission scenarios and Earth models characterized by a thin elastic lithosphere and low-viscosity upper mantle, as is the case for West Antarctica.},
 bibtype = {article},
 author = {Gomez, Natalya and Pollard, David and Holland, David},
 doi = {10.1038/ncomms9798},
 journal = {Nature Communications}
}

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