On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks. Guo, C., Pleiss, G., Sun, Y., & Weinberger, K. Q. In International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), 2017.
bibtex   
@inproceedings{ece-guo,
    author = {Guo, Chuan and Pleiss, Geoff and Sun, Yu and Weinberger, Kilian Q.},
    title = {On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks},
    booktitle = {International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML)},
    year = {2017},
}

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