Global water resources affected by human interventions and climate change. Haddeland, I., Heinke, J., Biemans, H., Eisner, S., Flörke, M., Hanasaki, N., Konzmann, M., Ludwig, F., Masaki, Y., Schewe, J., Stacke, T., Tessler, Z. D., Wada, Y., & Wisser, D. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(9):3251–3256, March, 2014.
Global water resources affected by human interventions and climate change [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
Humans directly change the dynamics of the water cycle through dams constructed for water storage, and through water withdrawals for industrial, agricultural, or domestic purposes. Climate change is expected to additionally affect water supply and demand. Here, analyses of climate change and direct human impacts on the terrestrial water cycle are presented and compared using a multimodel approach. Seven global hydrological models have been forced with multiple climate projections, and with and without taking into account impacts of human interventions such as dams and water withdrawals on the hydrological cycle. Model results are analyzed for different levels of global warming, allowing for analyses in line with temperature targets for climate change mitigation. The results indicate that direct human impacts on the water cycle in some regions, e.g., parts of Asia and in the western United States, are of the same order of magnitude, or even exceed impacts to be expected for moderate levels of global warming (+2 K). Despite some spread in model projections, irrigation water consumption is generally projected to increase with higher global mean temperatures. Irrigation water scarcity is particularly large in parts of southern and eastern Asia, and is expected to become even larger in the future.
@article{haddeland_global_2014,
	title = {Global water resources affected by human interventions and climate change},
	volume = {111},
	issn = {0027-8424, 1091-6490},
	url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/111/9/3251},
	doi = {10.1073/pnas.1222475110},
	abstract = {Humans directly change the dynamics of the water cycle through dams constructed for water storage, and through water withdrawals for industrial, agricultural, or domestic purposes. Climate change is expected to additionally affect water supply and demand. Here, analyses of climate change and direct human impacts on the terrestrial water cycle are presented and compared using a multimodel approach. Seven global hydrological models have been forced with multiple climate projections, and with and without taking into account impacts of human interventions such as dams and water withdrawals on the hydrological cycle. Model results are analyzed for different levels of global warming, allowing for analyses in line with temperature targets for climate change mitigation. The results indicate that direct human impacts on the water cycle in some regions, e.g., parts of Asia and in the western United States, are of the same order of magnitude, or even exceed impacts to be expected for moderate levels of global warming (+2 K). Despite some spread in model projections, irrigation water consumption is generally projected to increase with higher global mean temperatures. Irrigation water scarcity is particularly large in parts of southern and eastern Asia, and is expected to become even larger in the future.},
	language = {en},
	number = {9},
	urldate = {2017-08-25},
	journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	author = {Haddeland, Ingjerd and Heinke, Jens and Biemans, Hester and Eisner, Stephanie and Flörke, Martina and Hanasaki, Naota and Konzmann, Markus and Ludwig, Fulco and Masaki, Yoshimitsu and Schewe, Jacob and Stacke, Tobias and Tessler, Zachary D. and Wada, Yoshihide and Wisser, Dominik},
	month = mar,
	year = {2014},
	pmid = {24344275},
	pages = {3251--3256}
}

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