Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions. Hafner-Burton, E. M, Hyde, S. D, & Jablonski, R. S British Journal of Political Science, 48(2):459-488, 2018. ![Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions [link]](https://bibbase.org/img/filetypes/link.svg "link")
Publication ![Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions [pdf]](https://bibbase.org/img/filetypes/pdf.svg "pdf")
Ungated paper Data abstract bibtex 4 downloads It is often assumed that government-sponsored election violence increases the probability that incumbent leaders remain in power. Using cross-national data, this article shows that election violence increases the probability of incumbent victory, but can generate risky post-election dynamics. These differences in the consequences of election violence reflect changes in the strategic setting over the course of the election cycle. In the pre-election period, anti-incumbent collective action tends to be focused on the election itself, either through voter mobilization or opposition-organized election boycotts. In the post-election period, by contrast, when a favorable electoral outcome is no longer a possibility, anti-government collective action more often takes the form of mass political protest, which in turn can lead to costly repercussions for incumbent leaders.
@article{hafner2018surviving,
title={Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions},
author={Hafner-Burton, Emilie M and Hyde, Susan D and Jablonski, Ryan S},
journal={British Journal of Political Science},
volume={48},
number={2},
pages={459-488},
year={2018},
abstract={It is often assumed that government-sponsored election violence increases the probability that incumbent leaders remain in power. Using cross-national data, this article shows that election violence increases the probability of incumbent victory, but can generate risky post-election dynamics. These differences in the consequences of election violence reflect changes in the strategic setting over the course of the election cycle. In the pre-election period, anti-incumbent collective action tends to be focused on the election itself, either through voter mobilization or opposition-organized election boycotts. In the post-election period, by contrast, when a favorable electoral outcome is no longer a possibility, anti-government collective action more often takes the form of mass political protest, which in turn can lead to costly repercussions for incumbent leaders.},
url_Publication={https://doi.org/10.1017/S000712341600020X},
url_Ungated_Paper={https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/Surviving%20Elections.pdf},
url_Data={https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/replication/BJPS%20Replication2.zip}
}
Downloads: 4
{"_id":"hsZHD3C48fBfwbxSv","bibbaseid":"hafnerburton-hyde-jablonski-survivingelectionselectionviolenceincumbentvictoryandpostelectionrepercussions-2018","author_short":["Hafner-Burton, E. M","Hyde, S. D","Jablonski, R. S"],"bibdata":{"bibtype":"article","type":"article","title":"Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Hafner-Burton"],"firstnames":["Emilie","M"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Hyde"],"firstnames":["Susan","D"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Jablonski"],"firstnames":["Ryan","S"],"suffixes":[]}],"journal":"British Journal of Political Science","volume":"48","number":"2","pages":"459-488","year":"2018","abstract":"It is often assumed that government-sponsored election violence increases the probability that incumbent leaders remain in power. Using cross-national data, this article shows that election violence increases the probability of incumbent victory, but can generate risky post-election dynamics. These differences in the consequences of election violence reflect changes in the strategic setting over the course of the election cycle. In the pre-election period, anti-incumbent collective action tends to be focused on the election itself, either through voter mobilization or opposition-organized election boycotts. In the post-election period, by contrast, when a favorable electoral outcome is no longer a possibility, anti-government collective action more often takes the form of mass political protest, which in turn can lead to costly repercussions for incumbent leaders.","url_publication":"https://doi.org/10.1017/S000712341600020X","url_ungated_paper":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/Surviving%20Elections.pdf","url_data":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/replication/BJPS%20Replication2.zip","bibtex":"@article{hafner2018surviving,\r\n title={Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions},\r\n author={Hafner-Burton, Emilie M and Hyde, Susan D and Jablonski, Ryan S},\r\n journal={British Journal of Political Science},\r\n volume={48},\r\n number={2},\r\n pages={459-488},\r\n year={2018},\r\nabstract={It is often assumed that government-sponsored election violence increases the probability that incumbent leaders remain in power. Using cross-national data, this article shows that election violence increases the probability of incumbent victory, but can generate risky post-election dynamics. These differences in the consequences of election violence reflect changes in the strategic setting over the course of the election cycle. In the pre-election period, anti-incumbent collective action tends to be focused on the election itself, either through voter mobilization or opposition-organized election boycotts. In the post-election period, by contrast, when a favorable electoral outcome is no longer a possibility, anti-government collective action more often takes the form of mass political protest, which in turn can lead to costly repercussions for incumbent leaders.},\r\nurl_Publication={https://doi.org/10.1017/S000712341600020X},\r\nurl_Ungated_Paper={https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/Surviving%20Elections.pdf},\r\nurl_Data={https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/replication/BJPS%20Replication2.zip}\r\n}\r\n\r\n","author_short":["Hafner-Burton, E. M","Hyde, S. D","Jablonski, R. S"],"key":"hafner2018surviving","id":"hafner2018surviving","bibbaseid":"hafnerburton-hyde-jablonski-survivingelectionselectionviolenceincumbentvictoryandpostelectionrepercussions-2018","role":"author","urls":{" publication":"https://doi.org/10.1017/S000712341600020X"," ungated paper":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/Surviving%20Elections.pdf"," data":"https://s3.amazonaws.com/r.s.jablonski/replication/BJPS%20Replication2.zip"},"metadata":{"authorlinks":{}},"downloads":4,"html":""},"bibtype":"article","biburl":"www.ryanjablonski.com/cv.bib","dataSources":["S6y2eBKbvc6qPPQCX","Np2gwA87jMQ6yXfoG","CkNfc9LmF7bamvmHH"],"keywords":[],"search_terms":["surviving","elections","election","violence","incumbent","victory","post","election","repercussions","hafner-burton","hyde","jablonski"],"title":"Surviving elections: Election violence, incumbent victory and post-election repercussions","year":2018,"downloads":5}