Using Full Probability Models to Compute Probabilities of Actual Interest to Decision-Makers. Harrell, F. E. & Shih, T. Int J Tech Assess Hlth Care, 17:17-26, 2001.
bibtex   
@article{har01usi,
  title = {Using Full Probability Models to Compute Probabilities of Actual Interest to Decision-Makers},
  volume = {17},
  journal = {Int J Tech Assess Hlth Care},
  author = {Harrell, Frank E. and Shih, Tina},
  year = {2001},
  keywords = {bayesian,special-issue-basesian-approach-to-technology-assessment-and-decision-making},
  pages = {17-26},
  citeulike-article-id = {13265138},
  posted-at = {2014-07-14 14:09:50},
  priority = {0}
}
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