From Past to Future Warming. Hegerl, G. & Stott, P. 343(6173):844–845.
From Past to Future Warming [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
In its Fifth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that it is ” extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together” (1). This conclusion was based on an expert assessment drawing on multiple analyses of observed temperature changes. However, substantial uncertainties remain, especially in estimating the human contribution to regional temperature change and extreme events.
@article{hegerlFutureWarming2014,
  title = {From Past to Future Warming},
  author = {Hegerl, Gabi and Stott, Peter},
  date = {2014-02},
  journaltitle = {Science},
  volume = {343},
  pages = {844--845},
  issn = {1095-9203},
  doi = {10.1126/science.1249368},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1249368},
  abstract = {In its Fifth Assessment Report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that it is ” extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together” (1). This conclusion was based on an expert assessment drawing on multiple analyses of observed temperature changes. However, substantial uncertainties remain, especially in estimating the human contribution to regional temperature change and extreme events.},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-13056419,anthropogenic-impacts,climate-change,complexity,global-warming,land-use,non-linearity,paleo-climate,uncertainty},
  number = {6173}
}

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