Accuracy of Point Predictions in Survival Analysis. Henderson, R., Jones, M., & Stare, J. Stat Med, 20:3083-3096, 2001.
bibtex   
@article{hen01acc,
  title = {Accuracy of Point Predictions in Survival Analysis},
  volume = {20},
  journal = {Stat Med},
  author = {Henderson, Robin and Jones, Margaret and Stare, Janez},
  year = {2001},
  keywords = {predictive-accuracy,prognosis,descrimination},
  pages = {3083-3096},
  citeulike-article-id = {13265240},
  posted-at = {2014-07-14 14:09:52},
  priority = {0},
  annote = {probability of severe error, e.g. off by factor of 2 in predicting survival time}
}

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