Propagation of Uncertainty in Risk Assessments: The Need to Distinguish Between Uncertainty Due to Lack of Knowledge and Uncertainty Due to Variability. Hoffman, F. O. & Hammonds, J. S. Risk Analysis, 14(5):707–712, 1994.
doi  bibtex   
@Article{         Hoffman_1994aa,
  author        = {Hoffman, F. Owen and Hammonds, Jana S.},
  doi           = {10.1111/j.1539-6924.1994.tb00281.x},
  journal       = {Risk Analysis},
  keywords      = {uncertainty,risk,sensitivity},
  langid        = {english},
  number        = {5},
  pages         = {707--712},
  title         = {{Propagation of Uncertainty in Risk Assessments: The Need to Distinguish Between Uncertainty Due to Lack of Knowledge and Uncertainty Due to Variability}},
  volume        = {14},
  year          = {1994}
}

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