Hindsight bias: A by-product of knowledge updating?. Hoffrage, U., R., H., & Gigerenzer, G. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memory and Cognition, 26(3):566-581, 2000.
bibtex   
@article{Hoffrage2000,
  added-at = {2009-10-13T14:06:45.000+0200},
  author = {Hoffrage, U. and R., Hertwig. and Gigerenzer, G.},
  biburl = {https://www.bibsonomy.org/bibtex/27ea39e7e20c77fb1b0ac9a56491b3086/schultem},
  file = {Hoffrage2000.pdf:h\\Hoffrage2000.pdf:PDF},
  groupsearch = {0},
  interhash = {47f5d1536658a555693f420ea85e503a},
  intrahash = {7ea39e7e20c77fb1b0ac9a56491b3086},
  journal = {Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning Memory and Cognition},
  keywords = {DM},
  number = 3,
  pages = {566-581},
  timestamp = {2009-10-13T14:06:50.000+0200},
  title = {Hindsight bias: {A} by-product of knowledge updating?},
  volume = 26,
  year = 2000
}

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