Forecasting violent events in the middle East and North Africa using the hidden Markov model and regularized autoregressive models. Hossain, K. T., Gao, S., Kennedy, B., Galstyan, A., & Natarajan, P. The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation, 17(3):269–283, SAGE Publications Sage UK: London, England, 2020.
bibtex   
@article{hossain2020forecasting,
  title={Forecasting violent events in the middle East and North Africa using the hidden Markov model and regularized autoregressive models},
  author={Hossain, KSM Tozammel and Gao, Shuyang and Kennedy, Brendan and Galstyan, Aram and Natarajan, Prem},
  journal={The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation},
  volume={17},
  number={3},
  pages={269--283},
  year={2020},
  publisher={SAGE Publications Sage UK: London, England}
}

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