How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model?. Jakeman, A. J. & Hornberger, G. M. Water Resources Research, 1993.
How much complexity is warranted in a rainfall-runoff model? [pdf]Paper  abstract   bibtex   
Development of mathematical models relating the precipitation incident upon a catchment to the streamflow emanating from the catchment has been a major focus of surface water hydrology for decades. Generally, values for parameters in such models must be selected so that runoff calculated from the model

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