On the study of statistical intuitions. Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. Cognition, 11(2):123-41, 1982.
bibtex   
@Article{Kahneman1982a,
  author   = {D. Kahneman and A. Tversky},
  journal  = {Cognition},
  title    = {On the study of statistical intuitions.},
  year     = {1982},
  number   = {2},
  pages    = {123-41},
  volume   = {11},
  keywords = {Cooperative Behavior, Humans, Judgment, Language, Methods, Non-P.H.S., Probability, Research Support, Statistics, Thinking, U.S. Gov't, 7198957},
}

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