Representing and Communicating Deep Uncertainty in Climate-Change Assessments. Kandlikar, M., Risbey, J., & Dessai, S. 337(4):443–455. ![Representing and Communicating Deep Uncertainty in Climate-Change Assessments [link]](https://bibbase.org/img/filetypes/link.svg "link")
Paper doi abstract bibtex IPCC reports provide a synthesis of the state of the science in order to inform the international policy process. This task is made difficult by the presence of deep uncertainty in the climate problem that results from long time scales and complexity. This paper focuses on how deep uncertainty can be effectively communicated. We argue that existing schemes do an inadequate job of communicating deep uncertainty and propose a simple approach that distinguishes between various levels of subjective understanding in a systematic manner. We illustrate our approach with two examples. To cite this article: M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005). Les rapports du GIEC fournissent une synthèse de l'état de la science en vue de dégager des informations pertinentes pour l'action politique internationale. Cette tâche est rendue difficile par l'incertitude profonde qui affecte le problème climatique par suite de sa complexité et de ses grandes constantes de temps. L'article est focalisé sur la manière dont on peut effectivement communiquer sur l'incertitude profonde. Nous démontrons que les schémas existants ne réussissent pas à le faire correctement et proposons une méthode simple pour distinguer de manière systématique les divers niveaux de compréhension subjective. Cette approche est illustrée par deux exemples. Pour citer cet article : M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005).
@article{kandlikarRepresentingCommunicatingDeep2005,
title = {Representing and Communicating Deep Uncertainty in Climate-Change Assessments},
author = {Kandlikar, Milind and Risbey, James and Dessai, Suraje},
date = {2005-03},
journaltitle = {Comptes Rendus Geoscience},
volume = {337},
pages = {443--455},
issn = {1631-0713},
doi = {10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010},
abstract = {IPCC reports provide a synthesis of the state of the science in order to inform the international policy process. This task is made difficult by the presence of deep uncertainty in the climate problem that results from long time scales and complexity. This paper focuses on how deep uncertainty can be effectively communicated. We argue that existing schemes do an inadequate job of communicating deep uncertainty and propose a simple approach that distinguishes between various levels of subjective understanding in a systematic manner. We illustrate our approach with two examples. To cite this article: M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005). Les rapports du GIEC fournissent une synthèse de l'état de la science en vue de dégager des informations pertinentes pour l'action politique internationale. Cette tâche est rendue difficile par l'incertitude profonde qui affecte le problème climatique par suite de sa complexité et de ses grandes constantes de temps. L'article est focalisé sur la manière dont on peut effectivement communiquer sur l'incertitude profonde. Nous démontrons que les schémas existants ne réussissent pas à le faire correctement et proposons une méthode simple pour distinguer de manière systématique les divers niveaux de compréhension subjective. Cette approche est illustrée par deux exemples. Pour citer cet article : M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005).},
keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-11691424,assessment,climate-change,communicating-uncertainty,deep-uncertainty,overwhelming-uncertainty,scientific-communication,uncertainty},
number = {4}
}
Downloads: 0
{"_id":"A4gMTDjkAmnoECd9Z","bibbaseid":"kandlikar-risbey-dessai-representingandcommunicatingdeepuncertaintyinclimatechangeassessments","authorIDs":[],"author_short":["Kandlikar, M.","Risbey, J.","Dessai, S."],"bibdata":{"bibtype":"article","type":"article","title":"Representing and Communicating Deep Uncertainty in Climate-Change Assessments","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Kandlikar"],"firstnames":["Milind"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Risbey"],"firstnames":["James"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Dessai"],"firstnames":["Suraje"],"suffixes":[]}],"date":"2005-03","journaltitle":"Comptes Rendus Geoscience","volume":"337","pages":"443–455","issn":"1631-0713","doi":"10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010","url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010","abstract":"IPCC reports provide a synthesis of the state of the science in order to inform the international policy process. This task is made difficult by the presence of deep uncertainty in the climate problem that results from long time scales and complexity. This paper focuses on how deep uncertainty can be effectively communicated. We argue that existing schemes do an inadequate job of communicating deep uncertainty and propose a simple approach that distinguishes between various levels of subjective understanding in a systematic manner. We illustrate our approach with two examples. To cite this article: M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005). Les rapports du GIEC fournissent une synthèse de l'état de la science en vue de dégager des informations pertinentes pour l'action politique internationale. Cette tâche est rendue difficile par l'incertitude profonde qui affecte le problème climatique par suite de sa complexité et de ses grandes constantes de temps. L'article est focalisé sur la manière dont on peut effectivement communiquer sur l'incertitude profonde. Nous démontrons que les schémas existants ne réussissent pas à le faire correctement et proposons une méthode simple pour distinguer de manière systématique les divers niveaux de compréhension subjective. Cette approche est illustrée par deux exemples. Pour citer cet article : M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005).","keywords":"*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-11691424,assessment,climate-change,communicating-uncertainty,deep-uncertainty,overwhelming-uncertainty,scientific-communication,uncertainty","number":"4","bibtex":"@article{kandlikarRepresentingCommunicatingDeep2005,\n title = {Representing and Communicating Deep Uncertainty in Climate-Change Assessments},\n author = {Kandlikar, Milind and Risbey, James and Dessai, Suraje},\n date = {2005-03},\n journaltitle = {Comptes Rendus Geoscience},\n volume = {337},\n pages = {443--455},\n issn = {1631-0713},\n doi = {10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010},\n url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010},\n abstract = {IPCC reports provide a synthesis of the state of the science in order to inform the international policy process. This task is made difficult by the presence of deep uncertainty in the climate problem that results from long time scales and complexity. This paper focuses on how deep uncertainty can be effectively communicated. We argue that existing schemes do an inadequate job of communicating deep uncertainty and propose a simple approach that distinguishes between various levels of subjective understanding in a systematic manner. We illustrate our approach with two examples. To cite this article: M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005). Les rapports du GIEC fournissent une synthèse de l'état de la science en vue de dégager des informations pertinentes pour l'action politique internationale. Cette tâche est rendue difficile par l'incertitude profonde qui affecte le problème climatique par suite de sa complexité et de ses grandes constantes de temps. L'article est focalisé sur la manière dont on peut effectivement communiquer sur l'incertitude profonde. Nous démontrons que les schémas existants ne réussissent pas à le faire correctement et proposons une méthode simple pour distinguer de manière systématique les divers niveaux de compréhension subjective. Cette approche est illustrée par deux exemples. Pour citer cet article : M. Kandlikar et al., C. R. Geoscience 337 (2005).},\n keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-11691424,assessment,climate-change,communicating-uncertainty,deep-uncertainty,overwhelming-uncertainty,scientific-communication,uncertainty},\n number = {4}\n}\n\n","author_short":["Kandlikar, M.","Risbey, J.","Dessai, S."],"key":"kandlikarRepresentingCommunicatingDeep2005","id":"kandlikarRepresentingCommunicatingDeep2005","bibbaseid":"kandlikar-risbey-dessai-representingandcommunicatingdeepuncertaintyinclimatechangeassessments","role":"author","urls":{"Paper":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2004.10.010"},"keyword":["*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM","~INRMM-MiD:c-11691424","assessment","climate-change","communicating-uncertainty","deep-uncertainty","overwhelming-uncertainty","scientific-communication","uncertainty"],"downloads":0},"bibtype":"article","biburl":"https://tmpfiles.org/dl/58794/INRMM.bib","creationDate":"2020-07-02T22:41:10.784Z","downloads":0,"keywords":["*imported-from-citeulike-inrmm","~inrmm-mid:c-11691424","assessment","climate-change","communicating-uncertainty","deep-uncertainty","overwhelming-uncertainty","scientific-communication","uncertainty"],"search_terms":["representing","communicating","deep","uncertainty","climate","change","assessments","kandlikar","risbey","dessai"],"title":"Representing and Communicating Deep Uncertainty in Climate-Change Assessments","year":null,"dataSources":["DXuKbcZTirdigFKPF"]}