Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics–I. 1927. Kermack, W. O & McKendrick, A. G Bulletin of mathematical biology, 53(1-2):33–55, 1991.
bibtex   
@article{kermack1991contributions,
	title={Contributions to the mathematical theory of epidemics--I. 1927.},
	author={Kermack, William O and McKendrick, Anderson G},
	journal={Bulletin of mathematical biology},
	volume={53},
	number={1-2},
	pages={33--55},
	year={1991}
}

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