Improving Forecasts of State Failure. King, G. & Zeng, L. World Polit., 53:623--658, 2001.
bibtex   
@article{king_improving_2001,
	title = {Improving {Forecasts} of {State} {Failure}},
	volume = {53},
	journal = {World Polit.},
	author = {King, G. and Zeng, L.},
	year = {2001},
	pages = {623--658}
}

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