@article{ ISI:000279128000003,
Author = {Kurota, Hiroyuki and Hiramatsu, Kazuhiko and Takahashi, Norio and Shono,
   Hiroshi and Itoh, Tomoyuki and Tsuji, Sachiko},
Title = {{Developing a management procedure robust to uncertainty for southern
   bluefin tuna: a somewhat frustrating struggle to bridge the gap between
   ideals and reality}},
Journal = {{POPULATION ECOLOGY}},
Year = {{2010}},
Volume = {{52}},
Number = {{3}},
Pages = {{359-372}},
Month = {{JUL}},
Abstract = {{Fisheries management is conducted to achieve sustainable use of fishery
   resources, mainly through regulation of fishing activities. For almost a
   decade, the Commission for the Conservation of Southern Bluefin Tuna
   (CCSBT) struggled to reach agreement on a total allowable catch (TAC)
   for southern bluefin tuna (SBT) because of stock assessment
   uncertainties. To address this, in 2002 the CCSBT commenced development
   of a management procedure (MP), a pre-agreed set of rules to determine
   how the TAC will be adjusted as new monitoring data become available.
   The CCSBT Scientific Committee tested various candidate MPs using
   operating models which simulate fish population and fishery dynamics as
   well as incorporate process, observation, and model uncertainties.
   Candidate MPs were evaluated using performance measures related to the
   following management objectives: maximize catches, avoid stock collapse,
   and minimize interannual catch variation. Of the MPs explored, some
   relied solely on empirical data {[}i.e., adjusted TAC based on catch per
   unit effort (CPUE) trends], whereas others were more complicated, based
   on population models. In 2005, the CCSBT adopted a model-based MP that
   realized a moderate catch with low variability and avoided stock
   collapse. This MP struck a compromise between the risk-prone and
   risk-averse standpoints of the different stakeholders. However, despite
   this concerted scientific effort, the MP was not implemented because,
   shortly after its adoption, it became evident that historical catches
   may have been substantially underreported. This complication
   necessitates returning to near the beginning of the development process.
   MP approaches have various advantages and challenges to be explored
   further. However, it is essential to lessen human-introduced uncertainty
   (such as catch misreporting) by enhanced enforcement, and to increase
   management robustness to biological uncertainties by implementing MPs.}},
Publisher = {{SPRINGER TOKYO}},
Address = {{1-11-11 KUDAN-KITA, CHIYODA-KU, TOKYO, 102-0073, JAPAN}},
Type = {{Review}},
Language = {{English}},
Affiliation = {{Kurota, H (Reprint Author), Fisheries Res Agcy, Natl Res Inst Far Seas Fisheries, 5-7-1 Orido, Shizuoka 4248633, Japan.
   Kurota, Hiroyuki; Takahashi, Norio; Shono, Hiroshi; Itoh, Tomoyuki; Tsuji, Sachiko, Fisheries Res Agcy, Natl Res Inst Far Seas Fisheries, Shizuoka 4248633, Japan.
   Hiramatsu, Kazuhiko, Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere \& Ocean Res Inst, Chiba 2778564, Japan.
   Tsuji, Sachiko, FAO, Dept Fisheries \& Aquaculture, I-00153 Rome, Italy.}},
DOI = {{10.1007/s10144-010-0201-1}},
ISSN = {{1438-3896}},
Keywords = {{CCSBT; Fisheries management; Harvest control rule; Management strategy
   evaluation; Precautionary management}},
Keywords-Plus = {{FISHERIES-MANAGEMENT; FLOUNDERING ATTEMPT; STOCK ASSESSMENT; LESSONS;
   SYSTEMS; STRATEGIES; MODEL; CONSERVATION; ECOLOGY}},
Research-Areas = {{Environmental Sciences \& Ecology}},
Web-of-Science-Categories  = {{Ecology}},
Author-Email = {{kurota@affrc.go.jp}},
Funding-Acknowledgement = {{Japan Fisheries Agency}},
Funding-Text = {{We thank a number of colleagues in the CCSBT Scientific Committee for
   fruitful discussions on the SBT MP development exercise over many years.
   The entire MP development process required substantial effort by all
   members of the SC, in particular by Ana Parma as a coordinator as well
   as Vivian Haist and Trevor Branch as consultant programmers. We would
   like to express our gratitude to Doug Butterworth for his valuable
   comments and for improving our English phraseology in earlier versions
   of this manuscript. Dale Kolody, Marinelle Basson, and Chin-Hwa Sun
   provided valuable comments that improved this manuscript and/or gave us
   an opportunity to introduce MPs developed by them in ESM. We also thank
   Rob Ahrens and Nathan Taylor for improving the English. Two anonymous
   reviewers are thanked for comments on an earlier draft of this paper.
   This paper arises from projects funded by the Japan Fisheries Agency.}},
Number-of-Cited-References = {{82}},
Times-Cited = {{14}},
Usage-Count-Last-180-days = {{3}},
Usage-Count-Since-2013 = {{43}},
Journal-ISO = {{Popul. Ecol.}},
Doc-Delivery-Number = {{615IK}},
Unique-ID = {{ISI:000279128000003}},
OA = {{No}},
DA = {{2017-08-17}},
}

{"_id":"Pu5M8CgnZppPunR9x","bibbaseid":"kurota-hiramatsu-takahashi-shono-itoh-tsuji-developingamanagementprocedurerobusttouncertaintyforsouthernbluefintunaasomewhatfrustratingstruggletobridgethegapbetweenidealsandreality-2010","downloads":0,"creationDate":"2017-08-17T14:08:07.628Z","title":"Developing a management procedure robust to uncertainty for southern bluefin tuna: a somewhat frustrating struggle to bridge the gap between ideals and reality","author_short":["Kurota, H.","Hiramatsu, K.","Takahashi, N.","Shono, H.","Itoh, T.","Tsuji, S."],"year":2010,"bibtype":"article","biburl":"http://flr-project.org/flr.bib","bibdata":{"bibtype":"article","type":"Review","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Kurota"],"firstnames":["Hiroyuki"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Hiramatsu"],"firstnames":["Kazuhiko"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Takahashi"],"firstnames":["Norio"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Shono"],"firstnames":["Hiroshi"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Itoh"],"firstnames":["Tomoyuki"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Tsuji"],"firstnames":["Sachiko"],"suffixes":[]}],"title":"Developing a management procedure robust to uncertainty for southern bluefin tuna: a somewhat frustrating struggle to bridge the gap between ideals and reality","journal":"POPULATION ECOLOGY","year":"2010","volume":"52","number":"3","pages":"359-372","month":"JUL","abstract":"Fisheries management is conducted to achieve sustainable use of fishery resources, mainly through regulation of fishing activities. For almost a decade, the Commission for the Conservation of Southern Bluefin Tuna (CCSBT) struggled to reach agreement on a total allowable catch (TAC) for southern bluefin tuna (SBT) because of stock assessment uncertainties. To address this, in 2002 the CCSBT commenced development of a management procedure (MP), a pre-agreed set of rules to determine how the TAC will be adjusted as new monitoring data become available. The CCSBT Scientific Committee tested various candidate MPs using operating models which simulate fish population and fishery dynamics as well as incorporate process, observation, and model uncertainties. Candidate MPs were evaluated using performance measures related to the following management objectives: maximize catches, avoid stock collapse, and minimize interannual catch variation. Of the MPs explored, some relied solely on empirical data [i.e., adjusted TAC based on catch per unit effort (CPUE) trends], whereas others were more complicated, based on population models. In 2005, the CCSBT adopted a model-based MP that realized a moderate catch with low variability and avoided stock collapse. This MP struck a compromise between the risk-prone and risk-averse standpoints of the different stakeholders. However, despite this concerted scientific effort, the MP was not implemented because, shortly after its adoption, it became evident that historical catches may have been substantially underreported. This complication necessitates returning to near the beginning of the development process. MP approaches have various advantages and challenges to be explored further. However, it is essential to lessen human-introduced uncertainty (such as catch misreporting) by enhanced enforcement, and to increase management robustness to biological uncertainties by implementing MPs.","publisher":"SPRINGER TOKYO","address":"1-11-11 KUDAN-KITA, CHIYODA-KU, TOKYO, 102-0073, JAPAN","language":"English","affiliation":"Kurota, H (Reprint Author), Fisheries Res Agcy, Natl Res Inst Far Seas Fisheries, 5-7-1 Orido, Shizuoka 4248633, Japan. Kurota, Hiroyuki; Takahashi, Norio; Shono, Hiroshi; Itoh, Tomoyuki; Tsuji, Sachiko, Fisheries Res Agcy, Natl Res Inst Far Seas Fisheries, Shizuoka 4248633, Japan. Hiramatsu, Kazuhiko, Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Chiba 2778564, Japan. Tsuji, Sachiko, FAO, Dept Fisheries & Aquaculture, I-00153 Rome, Italy.","doi":"10.1007/s10144-010-0201-1","issn":"1438-3896","keywords":"CCSBT; Fisheries management; Harvest control rule; Management strategy evaluation; Precautionary management","keywords-plus":"FISHERIES-MANAGEMENT; FLOUNDERING ATTEMPT; STOCK ASSESSMENT; LESSONS; SYSTEMS; STRATEGIES; MODEL; CONSERVATION; ECOLOGY","research-areas":"Environmental Sciences & Ecology","web-of-science-categories":"Ecology","author-email":"kurota@affrc.go.jp","funding-acknowledgement":"Japan Fisheries Agency","funding-text":"We thank a number of colleagues in the CCSBT Scientific Committee for fruitful discussions on the SBT MP development exercise over many years. The entire MP development process required substantial effort by all members of the SC, in particular by Ana Parma as a coordinator as well as Vivian Haist and Trevor Branch as consultant programmers. We would like to express our gratitude to Doug Butterworth for his valuable comments and for improving our English phraseology in earlier versions of this manuscript. Dale Kolody, Marinelle Basson, and Chin-Hwa Sun provided valuable comments that improved this manuscript and/or gave us an opportunity to introduce MPs developed by them in ESM. We also thank Rob Ahrens and Nathan Taylor for improving the English. Two anonymous reviewers are thanked for comments on an earlier draft of this paper. This paper arises from projects funded by the Japan Fisheries Agency.","number-of-cited-references":"82","times-cited":"14","usage-count-last-180-days":"3","usage-count-since-2013":"43","journal-iso":"Popul. Ecol.","doc-delivery-number":"615IK","unique-id":"ISI:000279128000003","oa":"No","da":"2017-08-17","bibtex":"@article{ ISI:000279128000003,\nAuthor = {Kurota, Hiroyuki and Hiramatsu, Kazuhiko and Takahashi, Norio and Shono,\n Hiroshi and Itoh, Tomoyuki and Tsuji, Sachiko},\nTitle = {{Developing a management procedure robust to uncertainty for southern\n bluefin tuna: a somewhat frustrating struggle to bridge the gap between\n ideals and reality}},\nJournal = {{POPULATION ECOLOGY}},\nYear = {{2010}},\nVolume = {{52}},\nNumber = {{3}},\nPages = {{359-372}},\nMonth = {{JUL}},\nAbstract = {{Fisheries management is conducted to achieve sustainable use of fishery\n resources, mainly through regulation of fishing activities. For almost a\n decade, the Commission for the Conservation of Southern Bluefin Tuna\n (CCSBT) struggled to reach agreement on a total allowable catch (TAC)\n for southern bluefin tuna (SBT) because of stock assessment\n uncertainties. To address this, in 2002 the CCSBT commenced development\n of a management procedure (MP), a pre-agreed set of rules to determine\n how the TAC will be adjusted as new monitoring data become available.\n The CCSBT Scientific Committee tested various candidate MPs using\n operating models which simulate fish population and fishery dynamics as\n well as incorporate process, observation, and model uncertainties.\n Candidate MPs were evaluated using performance measures related to the\n following management objectives: maximize catches, avoid stock collapse,\n and minimize interannual catch variation. Of the MPs explored, some\n relied solely on empirical data {[}i.e., adjusted TAC based on catch per\n unit effort (CPUE) trends], whereas others were more complicated, based\n on population models. In 2005, the CCSBT adopted a model-based MP that\n realized a moderate catch with low variability and avoided stock\n collapse. This MP struck a compromise between the risk-prone and\n risk-averse standpoints of the different stakeholders. However, despite\n this concerted scientific effort, the MP was not implemented because,\n shortly after its adoption, it became evident that historical catches\n may have been substantially underreported. This complication\n necessitates returning to near the beginning of the development process.\n MP approaches have various advantages and challenges to be explored\n further. However, it is essential to lessen human-introduced uncertainty\n (such as catch misreporting) by enhanced enforcement, and to increase\n management robustness to biological uncertainties by implementing MPs.}},\nPublisher = {{SPRINGER TOKYO}},\nAddress = {{1-11-11 KUDAN-KITA, CHIYODA-KU, TOKYO, 102-0073, JAPAN}},\nType = {{Review}},\nLanguage = {{English}},\nAffiliation = {{Kurota, H (Reprint Author), Fisheries Res Agcy, Natl Res Inst Far Seas Fisheries, 5-7-1 Orido, Shizuoka 4248633, Japan.\n Kurota, Hiroyuki; Takahashi, Norio; Shono, Hiroshi; Itoh, Tomoyuki; Tsuji, Sachiko, Fisheries Res Agcy, Natl Res Inst Far Seas Fisheries, Shizuoka 4248633, Japan.\n Hiramatsu, Kazuhiko, Univ Tokyo, Atmosphere \\& Ocean Res Inst, Chiba 2778564, Japan.\n Tsuji, Sachiko, FAO, Dept Fisheries \\& Aquaculture, I-00153 Rome, Italy.}},\nDOI = {{10.1007/s10144-010-0201-1}},\nISSN = {{1438-3896}},\nKeywords = {{CCSBT; Fisheries management; Harvest control rule; Management strategy\n evaluation; Precautionary management}},\nKeywords-Plus = {{FISHERIES-MANAGEMENT; FLOUNDERING ATTEMPT; STOCK ASSESSMENT; LESSONS;\n SYSTEMS; STRATEGIES; MODEL; CONSERVATION; ECOLOGY}},\nResearch-Areas = {{Environmental Sciences \\& Ecology}},\nWeb-of-Science-Categories = {{Ecology}},\nAuthor-Email = {{kurota@affrc.go.jp}},\nFunding-Acknowledgement = {{Japan Fisheries Agency}},\nFunding-Text = {{We thank a number of colleagues in the CCSBT Scientific Committee for\n fruitful discussions on the SBT MP development exercise over many years.\n The entire MP development process required substantial effort by all\n members of the SC, in particular by Ana Parma as a coordinator as well\n as Vivian Haist and Trevor Branch as consultant programmers. We would\n like to express our gratitude to Doug Butterworth for his valuable\n comments and for improving our English phraseology in earlier versions\n of this manuscript. Dale Kolody, Marinelle Basson, and Chin-Hwa Sun\n provided valuable comments that improved this manuscript and/or gave us\n an opportunity to introduce MPs developed by them in ESM. We also thank\n Rob Ahrens and Nathan Taylor for improving the English. Two anonymous\n reviewers are thanked for comments on an earlier draft of this paper.\n This paper arises from projects funded by the Japan Fisheries Agency.}},\nNumber-of-Cited-References = {{82}},\nTimes-Cited = {{14}},\nUsage-Count-Last-180-days = {{3}},\nUsage-Count-Since-2013 = {{43}},\nJournal-ISO = {{Popul. 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