@article{laplace1774,
title={M{\'e}moire sur la probabilit{\'e} des causes par les {\'e}v{\`e}nements},
author={Laplace, P},
journal={M{\'e}moires de l'Academie Royale des Sciences Present{\'e}s par Divers Savan},
volume={6},
pages={621--656},
year={1774}
}

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