@article{ledgerwoodPreregistrationRevolutionNeeds2018,
  title = {The Preregistration Revolution Needs to Distinguish between Predictions and Analyses},
  author = {Ledgerwood, Alison},
  date = {2018-11},
  journaltitle = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
  volume = {115},
  pages = {E10516-E10517},
  issn = {0027-8424},
  doi = {10.1073/pnas.1812592115},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1812592115},
  abstract = {[Excerpt] Nosek et al. (1) recently joined others in advocating for ” widespread adoption of preregistration” as a tool for advancing science. The language they use in making this important argument, however, creates unnecessary confusion: Like many others discussing these issues, they seem to conflate the goal of theory falsification with the goal of constraining type I error. This masks a crucial distinction between two types of preregistration: preregistering a theoretical, a priori, directional prediction (which serves to clarify how a hypothesis is constructed) and preregistering an analysis plan (which serves to clarify how evidence is produced).

[] Indeed, philosophers of science have identified elements of both how a hypothesis is constructed and how evidence is produced that are important for scientifically valid inference [...]},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-14653498,bias-correction,cognitive-biases,epistemology,preregistration,research-management,scientific-communication,uncertainty,unknown},
  number = {45}
}

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