Training for calibration. Lichtenstein, S. & Fischhoff, B. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 26(2):149–171, October, 1980. ![Training for calibration [link]](https://bibbase.org/img/filetypes/link.svg "link")
Paper doi abstract bibtex Two experiments attempted to improve the quality of people's probability assessments through intensive training. The first involved 11 sessions of 200 assessments each followed by comprehensive feedback. It produced considerable learning, almost all of which was accomplished after receipt of the first feedback. There was modest generalization to several related probability assessment tasks, but no generalization at all to two others. The second experiment reduced the training to three sessions. It revealed the same pattern of learning and limited generalization. About one-third of all subjects appeared to use probabilities quite appropriately on some tasks before training began. Further research is needed to understand why the training worked as well as it did, why that training did not always generalize, and why some individuals seemed to need no training at all.
@article{lichtenstein_training_1980,
title = {Training for calibration},
volume = {26},
issn = {0030-5073},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0030507380900525},
doi = {10.1016/0030-5073(80)90052-5},
abstract = {Two experiments attempted to improve the quality of people's probability assessments through intensive training. The first involved 11 sessions of 200 assessments each followed by comprehensive feedback. It produced considerable learning, almost all of which was accomplished after receipt of the first feedback. There was modest generalization to several related probability assessment tasks, but no generalization at all to two others. The second experiment reduced the training to three sessions. It revealed the same pattern of learning and limited generalization. About one-third of all subjects appeared to use probabilities quite appropriately on some tasks before training began. Further research is needed to understand why the training worked as well as it did, why that training did not always generalize, and why some individuals seemed to need no training at all.},
language = {en},
number = {2},
urldate = {2021-02-08},
journal = {Organizational Behavior and Human Performance},
author = {Lichtenstein, Sarah and Fischhoff, Baruch},
month = oct,
year = {1980},
pages = {149--171},
}
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