Neural Coding of Uncertainty and Probability. Ma, W. J. & Jazayeri, M. Annual Review of Neuroscience, 37(1):205–220, 2014.
Neural Coding of Uncertainty and Probability [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
Organisms must act in the face of sensory, motor, and reward uncertainty stemming from a pandemonium of stochasticity and missing information. In many tasks, organisms can make better decisions if they have at their disposal a representation of the uncertainty associated with task-relevant variables. We formalize this problem using Bayesian decision theory and review recent behavioral and neural evidence that the brain may use knowledge of uncertainty, confidence, and probability.
@article{ma_neural_2014,
	title = {Neural {Coding} of {Uncertainty} and {Probability}},
	volume = {37},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-neuro-071013-014017},
	doi = {10.1146/annurev-neuro-071013-014017},
	abstract = {Organisms must act in the face of sensory, motor, and reward uncertainty stemming from a pandemonium of stochasticity and missing information. In many tasks, organisms can make better decisions if they have at their disposal a representation of the uncertainty associated with task-relevant variables. We formalize this problem using Bayesian decision theory and review recent behavioral and neural evidence that the brain may use knowledge of uncertainty, confidence, and probability.},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2019-11-18},
	journal = {Annual Review of Neuroscience},
	author = {Ma, Wei Ji and Jazayeri, Mehrdad},
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {neuroeconomics model},
	pages = {205--220},
}

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